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Disturbance near Mexico has 60 percent chance of becoming tropical cyclone

A group of thunderstorms over the western Gulf of Mexico has a 60 percent chance of strengthening into a tropical cyclone, a rotating system that ranges in strength from tropical depression to tropical storm to hurricane, forecasters said Monday.

Even so, the area of storms over the southern Bay of Campeche does not have a well-defined circulation, the National Hurricane Center said in its tropical weather outlook.

“This system is expected to move slowly northwestward toward the northeastern coast of Mexico, and may become a tropical cyclone before it moves inland in a day or two,” Jack Beven, a senior hurricane specialist wrote in Monday’s outlook.

If a cyclone forms and achieves a sustained wind speed of at least 39 mph, it would become Tropical Storm Barry. There is no threat to Florida.

Everything you need to know about hurricanes

An Air Force reserve plane is scheduled to fly through the storms, if necessary, the hurricane center said.

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