Hurricane Dorian forecast: Here’s how and when it might affect Maryland

As Hurricane Dorian continues to make its way up the East Coast, most of Maryland will likely be spared from any major effects. But some areas on the Eastern Shore and in Southern Maryland are under a tropical storm warning.

Here’s a rundown of how the storm might affect parts of the state, according to the National Weather Service.


Tropical storm force winds are expected, with gusts as high as 70 mph, in areas including St. Mary’s County, along the Chesapeake Bay from Drum Point to Smith Point, and the Potomac River below Cobb Island. Gusts of up to 40 mph were reported Friday morning in Southern Maryland.

When will this happen: Friday morning into Friday night

Storm surge

Some coastal flooding is expected, though it should be minor, along the Chesapeake Bay coast and Potomac River shoreline. Up to 2 feet of inundation is possible in St. Mary’s and around the lower Eastern Shore, and waves could reach 10 feet in Ocean City.

When will this happen: Friday through Saturday night.

Heavy rain

Up to one inch of rain is possible, but flooding is not expected to be a major problem.

When will this happen: Friday

Little to no impact

Central Maryland, Western Maryland and the D.C. region should be spared from the storm.