Early Preakness forecast calls for sun, highs around 80 degrees

The 138th Preakness Stakes has come into the 10-day forecast window, and the early outlook is looking (mostly) ideal -- sunny skies with highs around 80 degrees.

Forecasting this far out leaves something to be desired as far as accuracy goes, to be sure. But the weather pattern is at least looking much warmer than it has been to start the month. It also looks more humid and stormy, potentially.


Both the Weather Channel and call for partly sunny skies May 18, with high temperature forecasts ranging from the upper-70s to the lower 80s. Both also call for some chances of rain and storms in the days leading up to the Preakness.

Weather Underground meanwhile calls for those thunderstorm chances to last into that Saturday, with a 40 percent chance of storms in its forecast.


Climate forecasts suggest seasonal temperatures for this part of the country around 10 days from now, though a wet weather pattern could be in place over much of the Northeast.

Average weather around this time of year includes highs in the mid-70s and lows in the mid-50s. Records stretch well into the 90s and down into the 30s.

Here's a look at weather from the last several Preakness Saturdays (as measured at BWI Marshall Airport):

  • May 19, 2012: Partly cloudy, high 83, low 49.
  • May 21, 2011: Partly cloudy, high 82, low 53.
  • May 15, 2010: Partly cloudy, high 78, low 58.
  • May 16, 2009: Cloudy, high 80, low 62.
  • May 17, 2008: Partly cloudy, high 74, low 45.