That's not to say Luck is the wrong choice for the Colts. He should eventually round into an elite NFL quarterback. It's just that the Colts have been stripped to the framing and need to rebuild. Remember, Peyton Manning had 28 interceptions his rookie year and his team finished 3-13.
This draft could be an ultra-rare one in which quarterbacks were selected 1-2 and both went on to play at a high level.
Andrew Luck is as NFL-ready as any player in the draft. He is more NFL-ready than Robert Griffin III, and Luck should be better faster.
Luck played at a high level for four years compared to one for Griffin. He went 31-7 as a starter. Griffin played in a spread offense at Baylor. He will have to adjust to taking snaps under center and playing in a pro-style offense.
He also will have to learn to go through progressions. In college, he tended to lock onto a primary receiver. If the primary was covered, Griffin would take off. He isn't going to make Mike Shanahan happy if he's doing that in Washington. The only way Griffin is better quicker is if his team is considerably better than Luck's.
Meanwhile, Griffin gets better receivers to target on those bootlegs and waggles, the makings of a reliable running game and a Redskins defense that's a lot better than last year's stats indicate. RG3 will be all over NFL highlights in Week 1.
But it's Luck who is more likely to lead his team to the trophy. Fans will just have to wait a while.
Andrew Luck appears better groomed to step in and fill the void left by Peyton Manning, the first step to perhaps resurrecting the Colts.
Luck has the size, strength and experience, making him arguably the most equipped quarterback to lead an NFL offense as a rookie. He'll have a challenge as the Colts are rebuilding, but they've been through this process before with Manning.
Robert Griffin III brings more versatility with his running ability and arm strength. He'll bring excitement and hope to the Redskins, who traded a ton to position themselves to grab Griffin. But that's only because they couldn't position themselves to get Luck, who should show his value from Day 1.