C.J. Doon, editor: 12-4 would likely lock it up, but 11-5 might get it done. The Chiefs loom, but Kansas City would need to go 4-1 against the Raiders, Patriots, Broncos, Bears and Chargers and have the Ravens finish 3-3 or worse. The Texans, Colts and Raiders, all sitting at 6-4, would need to finish 5-1 over that same stretch to catch up. With the way the Ravens are playing, it’s more likely that they surpass the Patriots for the top seed than slip to the wild-card round.