With the NFL draft just a day away, it’s now-or-never time for mock drafts: Come Friday morning, your seven-round projections won’t matter at all.
But as a thought experiment, we can’t think of many better pastimes in self-quarantine. For a top team such as the Ravens, who have nine picks overall, including five over the first three rounds, the possibilities are limitless. How might their first-round selection affect the course of their next two days?
To answer that, Baltimore Sun reporter Jonas Shaffer and editor C.J. Doon put on their Eric DeCosta bald caps and got to work. For the sake of differing perspectives, Shaffer used Pro Football Focus’ mock draft simulator, while Doon used The Draft Network’s. Another auto-draft simulation offered its own version. In a no-trades-allowed environment, here’s whom they took as wannabe general managers:
Round 1, No. 28 overall
Shaffer: Iowa edge rusher A.J. Epenesa
This pick came down to two prospects, both linemen. The draft’s top two pure inside linebackers, LSU’s Patrick Queen and Oklahoma’s Kenneth Murray, were off the board. The draft’s top four wide receivers were no longer options. But Michigan center Cesar Ruiz was. Forced to choose between investing in one of the NFL’s better offensive lines or one of the league’s most uncertain front sevens, I went with defense.
Ruiz has the makings of a longtime starter, but the Ravens got good play at center from Matt Skura last season. If he’s not healthy enough to start the season, Patrick Mekari should only be improved after a promising rookie year. (Don’t underestimate offensive line coach Joe D’Alessandris, one of the NFL’s top teachers.) Yes, this pick might undercut the Ravens’ running game, but no rookie’s going to come in and dominate as Marshal Yanda had at right guard.
The 6-foot-5, 275-pound Epenesa does not have blue-chip measurables, but defensive coordinator Don “Wink” Martindale finds a way to make the most of players’ skills up front. For Epenesa, that might mean stepping in as a strong-side outside linebacker on early downs, where he can set the edge and put a charge into offensive tackles with his bull rush, before kicking inside on third-and-longs. Za’Darius Smith was a nightmare for opposing guards in his breakout 2018 season in Baltimore. Epenesa is a different player, but his strength and first step might translate similarly.
Doon: Wisconsin linebacker Zack Baun
With both Queen and Murray off the board, the decision came down to Baun and Epenesa. While Epenesa would be a good fit in the Ravens defense, especially with his ability to kick inside on obvious passing situations, Baun’s versatility as a sideline-to-sideline linebacker and productive pass rusher (19½ tackles for loss and 12½ sacks as a senior) is more enticing.
There’s a good case to be made for taking a receiver like Baylor’s Denzel Mims at this spot, but with such a deep class at the position, there’s bound to be good help available in the second and third rounds.
The Draft Network simulation: Oklahoma linebacker Kenneth Murray