Tennessee (7-3) gained ground in the AFC playoff race, while the Cleveland Browns (7-3) pulled ahead in the AFC North standings and the division-leading Pittsburgh Steelers remained undefeated at 10-0.
With the Kansas City Chiefs improving to 9-1 with a win over the Las Vegas Raiders on Sunday night, Pittsburgh and Kansas City remain a step ahead of a host of AFC teams with three and four losses.
Sunday’s loss drops the Ravens from the seventh seed to the No. 8 spot and out of the playoffs with five games remaining in the regular season. A loss to the Steelers on Thanksgiving would officially eliminate the Ravens from winning a third consecutive AFC North title and make capturing a wild-card berth even more of an uphill battle.
ESPN’s NFL Football Power Index gives the Ravens an 85.5% chance of making the playoffs after dropping two straight games.
Here’s who the Ravens are vying with in the conference.
Buffalo Bills (7-3), third seed
The Bills had a bye in Week 11 but maintain the edge as the third seed over the Indianapolis Colts because of the better conference record. The Miami Dolphins’ loss to the Denver Broncos gives Buffalo, which has already beat Miami once this season, a one-game lead in the AFC East.
ESPN FPI chance to make playoffs: 89.5%
Indianapolis Colts (7-3), fourth seed
The Colts held on to beat the Green Bay Packers in overtime and hold the tiebreaker edge in the AFC South thanks to their win over the Titans in their previous meeting. If the Colts were to lose their lead in the division and drop to a wild-card spot, the Ravens would hold a head-to-head tiebreaker advantage because of their Week 10 win.
ESPN FPI chance to make playoffs: 70.1%
Tennessee Titans (7-3), fifth seed
The Titans’ win and losses by the Dolphins and Raiders vaulted Tennessee from the eighth seed to the fifth seed heading into Week 12. Tennessee gets the edge over Cleveland in the standings because of their better conference record. The Titans have a critical two-game stretch upcoming, with a rematch against the Colts and then a home game against the Browns in Week 13. A tiebreaker between the Ravens and Titans would go to Tennessee because of their head-to-head win.
ESPN FPI chance to make playoffs: 85.3%
Cleveland Browns (7-3), sixth seed
The Browns moved into second place in the AFC North with key conference matchups looming. Cleveland travels to Tennessee in Week 13 before hosting the Ravens, who beat them in Week 1, for a rematch in Week 14.
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The Raiders’ crushing last-minute loss to the Chiefs likely makes winning the AFC West an insurmountable task. It also drops Las Vegas to the third and final wild-card spot. The Raiders, in a three-way tie with the Ravens and Dolphins, get the edge by virtue of their superior conference record. Las Vegas plays the Colts in Week 14 and the Dolphins in Week 16, two games with major playoff implications.
The Dolphins’ five-game winning streak came to an end against the Broncos, as rookie quarterback Tua Tagovailoa struggled and was benched for veteran Ryan Fitzpatrick. Miami coach Brian Flores said after the game that Tagovailoa will remain the starter going forward, but Sunday’s defeat dropped the Dolphins a game behind the Bills in the AFC East and out of the playoffs entirely. The Ravens’ superior strength of victory gives them the edge for the eighth spot over the Dolphins.