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Looking back at the Orioles' long-shot odds to win the AL East

Even though the Orioles have the ability to win the American League East by the largest margin in years, they were a longshot to win the division before the season began.

When online bookmaker Bovada released its first 2014 baseball futures odds, the Orioles were 7-to-1 to win the AL East, tied with the Blue Jays for the longest odds. The defending champion Red Sox and the  Rays were favorites at 11-to-5 odds.

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The bookmaker started buying into the Orioles in July, when it first made the O's the division favorite at 6-to-5 after being 9-to-2 odds in June.

With the Orioles holding an 8½ game lead, the AL East line went off the board on Sept. 1, meaning it was a foregone conclusion the O's would win the division in the oddsmaker's eyes.

The Orioles go into this weekend's final regular season home series against the Red Sox with a 14-game lead with 10 games left in the regular season. No team has won the AL East by double digits since the Yankees won the division by 10 games over Toronto in 2006. In 2005, the Yankees and Red Sox finished tied for first place by 15 games over Toronto. (New York was awarded the division by tiebreaker.)

Here's a breakdown of the Orioles' odds to win the division – according to Bovada -- and how that's changed over the course of the season.

March 5
Boston Red Sox, 11/5
Tampa Bay Rays, 11/5
New York Yankees, 12/5
Toronto Blue Jays, 7/1
Baltimore Orioles, 7/1

March 28
Boston Red Sox, 11/5
Tampa Bay Rays, 11/5
New York Yankees, 12/5
Toronto Blue Jays, 7/1
Baltimore Orioles, 7/1

May 1
New York Yankees, 2/1
Boston Red Sox, 11/4
Tampa Bay Rays, 3/1
Toronto Blue Jays, 11/2
Baltimore Orioles, 11/2

June 2  
Toronto Blue Jays, 7/5
New York Yankees, 5/2
Boston Red Sox, 4/1
Baltimore Orioles, 9/2
Tampa Bay Rays, 12/1

July 6
Baltimore Orioles, 6/5
Toronto Blue Jays, 9/4
New York Yankees, 11/4
Boston Red Sox, 14/1
Tampa Bay Rays, 14/1

August 1
Baltimore Orioles, 5/4
Toronto Blue Jays, 13/10
New York Yankees, 11/2
Tampa Bay Rays, 9/1
Boston Red Sox, 66/1

eencina@baltsun.com
twitter.com/EddieInTheYard

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