Race 1

Analysis: Expect Wink at the Girls to show nice tactical speed. Although stretching out from recent efforts, Wink at the Girls has won at this distance before and has been running at cheaper tracks, but has never raced over this track. Rascal Cat should lead for a while, but does not look to be able to carry the whole way. Dangerous has likely speed but would still be a stretch at this distance. Rehoboth will try to come from further back. Rehobeth has some back class so would be no surprise. Kurbat gets flattering odds at 2-1 but I'm not that impressed. Too cheap to be a heavy favorite.

Long Shot: 5-1 odds on Rehoboth looks like value. This is a pretty cheap bunch, and he is one with some class. He seems to be pointing to a return to form.

What to bet: Daily double wheel: Rehoboth and Wink At The Girls with Noah's Dream, Mikoshi and Crew.

Race 2

Analysis: Class Bopper sometimes flashes speed and sometimes comes from way back. Today will likely concede the lead to Noah's Dream. Noah's Dream is lightly raced but has hit the board in half his races. Noah's Dream just missed in the Federico Tesio Stakes as the second betting choice but will be respected today against what looks to be a much softer crowd. Empty Handed has disappointed in the recent past but has some excuses and has been running with much better horses. New Believer ships in off a nice win at Keeneland. If he can repeat that performance he should be in the money. Mikoshi is the computer's class of the race.

Long shot: Crew has two lifetime wins but both over this track and will be hoping for a solid pace to set up his late run. At 20-1, he looks really interesting.

What to bet: Exacta Box – Mikoshi, New Believer, Noah's Dream and Crew. Same box for trifecta if that's your preference.

Race 3

Analysis: A few in here are lightly raced, and they drift to the top of the computer rankings. Convoy Ahead earns top speed, class and form. He is one of the few with a win other than a maiden. However, he has not been racing in the same circuit as these and is anything but a lock. He seems to be the horse to beat. Idolatry has just a maiden win and in less-than-impressive company. Baiano tried the jump from maiden to allowance but came up way short. Liquidity Event earns the morning line favorite's spot, but he does so off just a maiden win.

Long Shot: Black Gabriel is another with a win other than maiden, who made the jump to allowance, and just missed.

What to bet: Trifecta wheel Convoy Ahead and Liquidity Event with Convoy Ahead, Liquidity Event, Idolatry and Black Gabriel.

Race 4

Analysis: Northpoint Costas stretches out to a distance I'm not sure he wants. Should be sole speed but this is a lot further to run than he seems to like. Two Doo comes in from a win, but it looks like a race I could have won with a small head start. He has been running with a weak crowd. Court Band seems to never be too far from the money and even has a couple of wins on form. Court Band has been running with a better crowd than most of these so should improve today against this soft field. Quantico Hero will be gunning for it early. Quantico Hero should get some pressure to keep him in check. No Brakes is a solid competitor who will be running well late.

Long Shot: Court Band will probably go off at longer odds than his 5-1 morning line. He's a good price at 5-1 or higher.

What to bet: Throw out the favorite and box Court Band, No Brakes, Quantico Hero and Thunder Charm in an exacta or trifecta.

Race 5

Analysis: Full field and a fairly competitive bunch should make for a fun race. Hold Your Money comes out as the computer's best speed, but it is anything but blazing gate speed. Look for a more reasonable pace. Killarney Bay has never raced on turf but someone must think he can do it. Lighthouse Sound is making a rapid pace climb. Lighthouse Sound should run out of rungs soon. Yer Man is a solid performer that has hit the board in four straight. Macho Chick was well bet after shipping in from New York. He is very dangerous again. He will likely be overlooked because of his fourth place last time out, but I think it actually was a strong effort.

Long Shot: Killarney Bay earned the computer program's top ranking overall. Not bad for a horse starting at 10-1. You won't get 10-1 on him, but will probably get 6-1.

What to bet: Key Macho Chick over Killarney Bay, Yer Man, Lighthouse Sound, and Hold Your Money in an exacta and trifecta. Put some win money on Macho Chick if he goes above 4-1.

Race 6

Analysis: Comedero earns the computer's top speed and top class by wide margins. He looks very tough in this one and has not been as high as 2-1 in his last six races. He should see heavy betting again. Very little else in here represents an obvious challenge. The best you will find is the one-start-one-win Charles Russell and Quiet Invader. Charles Russell's maiden win was impressive, and not totally unexpected given his fairly short odds in that one. He has the right running style so he won't have to go head to head with the heavy favorite. Quiet Invader has never raced outside of California but his connections went to the trouble of shipping him this far. He must be decent. If someone chooses to duel with Comedero, Charles Russell could clean up.

Long Shot: Charles Russell because they all look like long shots against the favorite.

What to bet: No real reason to bet around the favorite Looks to be a decent single in your exotics. Include Charles Russell in multi-race exotics.

Race 7

Analysis: Thunder Brew has perfect running style for a turf horse. He will wait his turn, then make bold stretch run. He earns the computer's best class score by a decent margin, and he should love the distance. Reckless Runner made the switch from maiden winner to allowance contender better than anyone expected but is in another league today and could hit the board. Beau Choix got no respect at Keeneland after shipping in from Florida, but still hit the board impressively. Cannot rule him out now as he descends the class ladder back where he is competitive. He is very dangerous here.

Long Shot: Beau Choix. I can't pronounce it but the announcer might want to figure it out. He's dangerous.

What to bet: Take Thunder Brew but leave yourself some room. It's a wide open race. Exacta box Beau Choix, Thunder Brew, Regal Warrior and Reckless Runner.

Race 8

Analysis: Blame took some time off but his last one was impressive, winning the Clark Handicap at Churchill Downs. He has shown the ability to run well off a layoff before and seems to be training up well. Indian Dance is a stone-cold closer who does not need a massive pace collapse to get his shot and should be running last. I Know Why is cheaper than the rest of these but has the track figured out. Bullsbay used to be a heck of a horse but got dusted by Blame in the Clark two races back. He is better than that but would be a surprise to see him run back to his heyday form today. Flying Private is a name people will recognize. He is slowly getting back into form. Derby also-rans have a way of coming around again in these events.

Long Shot: Bullsbay -- could hit his old form and be there. He will be completely overlooked in the betting.

What to bet: Blame looks to be the complete package but is up against a strong field. Spread it around. Box Blame, Indian Dance, Flying Private and Bullsbay in exacta and trifecta.

Race 9

Analysis: Rainbow View has not been as impressive in the States as she was overseas but still has a massive class margin on the rest of these. She should find herself having an easy time of it unless one of the rest of these has a five-star day. Payton D'oro may take and hold the lead for a while and should have no trouble with the distance, especially if they leave her alone on the lead early on. She has the class to take it the whole way. Love's Blush is another local kid, but proved herself very nicely on a recent penetration into the New York circuit. She looks like a great bet to hit the board. Share Account is another who may press the pace, ensuring a healthy pace overall. For value, Denomination comes in off two straight second-place efforts but got her scores against very good company. She is dangerous here.

Long Shot: Love's Blush proved herself to be more than a Maryland track specialist, scoring second place at Aqueduct last time. At 20:1 this is a no-brainer for inclusion in exotics.

What to bet: Wheel Rainbow View and Love's Blush with Rainbow View, Love's Blush, Payton D'oro and Denomination in exacta or trifecta.

Race 10

Analysis: For a sprint, there is not a lot of early speed in this one. Someone is bound to get up and go, but on form it looks as if Roaring Lion will have no trouble playing the role of pace setter. This makes him one to fear for sure. Ravalo won this race last year and has been running pretty well since (not continuously, that would be a lot) in mostly minor-stakes events but decent company. Not For Silver has been well traveled of late but some of his stops were for purse money and will come from further back but with the computer's best class score; he should find it easier to catch this crowd than he is used to. Snapshot earns the favorite's spot, but I'm not seeing it. I'd pass on him and look for value.

Long Shot: Not For Silver has the back class to run with these guys. On a good day, he dusts them.

What to bet: Roaring Lion shortens up a bit and should get daylight on the field. That bet is a good value today. Key him over Snapshot, Not For Silver, Ravalo, and Taqarub.

Race 11

Analysis: Just As Well gets a huge class advantage from the computer model based on the fact that he has been running in nothing but graded stakes company for 10 straight races. He's a million-dollar earner, but almost none of that is this year. Forgotten Dynasty is an up-and-comer who has not found his glass ceiling yet. He has very nice tactical speed and can be a part of it. Baltimore Bob should get some betting for his name. But other than the name, he is not so remarkable. He does know the track and has won here. Nicanor will likely be sole speed. He just shipped in from Keeneland where he went off the favorite but faded to fifth. He never got a clear lead in that one, but I think he will today. He could be trouble if left alone on the front end.

Long Shot: Grassy ships in from Keeneland where he closed fast for place against solid company. It would be a step up to win today, but not at all out of the question. Will be running late. Possibly too late, but worth a bet.

What to bet: This one is pretty wide open if you look past the favorite. There is plenty of reason to look past the favorite. Box Just As Well, Grassy, Forgotten Dynasty and Nicanor in exacta or trifecta.

Race 12 -- Preakness

Analysis: Expect Super Saver to run his race. His Derby win was not a big surprise, and he has proven himself a consistent horse. There is nothing unique to this track or this race that will make it a more difficult race for him. The most dangerous threat to Super Saver is the Derby favorite, Lookin at Lucky. He will enter and leave the gate with no excuses in his bag this time. The post position and weather are expected to be accommodating. I would not call his Derby performance proof that he can win over the Pimlico dirt track, but it was a decent effort and you can expect him to improve today. Do not expect the entire trifecta to be made up of the Derby starters. Paddy O'Prado looked to have made an opportunistic run in the Derby to finish third but the pace in the Preakness should be softer, so he will be disadvantaged. Dublin is probably the most dangerous of the Derby starters. Even with a seventh-place effort, I thought he showed something in that effort. Maybe he can run back to his sire's (Afleet Alex) performance in this race. Overall, there is nowhere near as much speed in the Preakness as in the Derby so the pace will be slower and the winner is more likely to be a stalker than a deep closer. Keep in mind that the Derby winner historically does very well in the Preakness, even when the Derby is a shocker (Giacomo, Mine That Bird). Super Saver has a good running style for this race, and if his Derby win was not just a romp in the slop but instead a jump up in maturity and form, he's the one to beat.

Long Shot: Yawana Twist sticks out as a bit of an overlay at 30:1. All he has done wrong is never been worse than second, including running second in a ten horse field in the Gotham. He's got a nice running style for this race and might be overlooked in the betting.

What to Bet: Win bet on Super Saver. Exacta wheel: Super Saver, Yawanna Twist over Super Saver, Yawanna Twist, Lookin at Lucky and Dublin. Trifecta Box: Super Saver, Yawanna Twist, Lookin at Lucky and Dublin.

Race 13

Analysis: Lots of first timers and one-time starters in this one. Those that have started have been less than impressive. Decisively gets top speed, top class and top form from the computer but on form looks like nothing special. He has just one start where he finished a well-beaten third. Granted Ruler looks much better, based on two straight troubled trips. If he figures out how to leave the gate when the bell rings and run in a straight line, he is probably quite dangerous. This race is very wide open so there is no reason to put any money on a heavy favorite.

Long shot: Lacrosse Moon was bred for $40,000 and has yet to prove he was not worth it. With so little to like amongst the ones that have started, he is worth a shot.

What to bet: Box something. Anything. Try any horse that sold for more than $15,000 as a tot. That includes: Love The Moment, Lacrosse Moon, Flipflopsandsocks and Mister Warbucks. Include Granted Ruler based on his two starts.