Week 6: Sam Farmer's NFL picks

Pro football reporter Sam Farmer breaks down the games.

Off: Cardinals, Bills, Panthers and Bengals

Last week's record: 8-6 Against the spread: 7-7

Season: 43-41 Against the spread: 34-42

Noon Ravens (4-1) at Patriots (3-1)

Line: Patriots by 2.5 Over/under: 44.5

Patriots are excellent after week off, so this should be interesting. Still, Joe Flacco should feast on a porous secondary.

Pick: Ravens 24, Patriots 20

Noon Falcons (4-1) at Eagles (3-2)

Line: Eagles by 3 Over/under: 42.5

Eagles have failed defensively against running backs and tight ends. Michael Turner and Tony Gonzalez make for tough matchup.

Pick: Falcons 20, Eagles 17

Noon Chiefs (3-1) at Texans (3-2)

Line: Texans by 4.5 Over/under: 45

Texans have lost two of three — and luster they had with early victories over Colts and Redskins. Watch for Matt Cassel to wake up.

Pick: Chiefs 24, Texans 21

Noon Seahawks (2-2) at Bears (4-1)

TV: WFLD-Ch. 32

Line: Bears by 6.5 Over/under: 37.5

Seahawks are only team that has yet to score in first quarter. That spells trouble on the road, even against banged-up Bears.

Pick: Bears 17, Seahawks 13

Noon Saints (3-2) at Buccaneers (3-1)

Line: Saints by 4.5 Over/under: 43.5

Drew Brees should look better after horrible outing, but Saints are really struggling. This could be an upset in making.

Pick: Buccaneers 21, Saints 20

Noon Dolphins (2-2) at Packers (3-2)

Line: Off Over/under: Off

At full strength, Packers are better team, yet they have as many significant injuries as anyone in the league.

Pick: Dolphins 20, Packers 17

Noon Browns (1-4) at Steelers (3-1)

Line: Steelers by 13.5 Over/under: 37

Both teams will have new starters at quarterback. Steelers should feel better about Ben Roethlisberger than Browns about Colt McCoy.

Pick: Steelers 28, Browns 13

Noon Chargers (2-3) at Rams (2-3)

Line: Chargers by 8 Over/under: 45

After four straight 2-3 starts, Chargers have a pattern. This is point they start turning around season.

Pick: Chargers 35, Rams 20

Noon Lions (1-4) at Giants (3-2)

Line: Giants by 10 Over/under: 44.5

After slogging through first three games, Giants have pulled out of tailspin by picking up defensive pressure.

Pick: Giants 27, Lions 20

3:05 p.m. Jets (4-1) at Broncos (2-3)

TV: WBBM-Ch. 2

Line: Jets by 3 Over/under: 41

Kyle Orton is putting up absurd passing numbers for Broncos, but Jets have dialed up right defensive schemes so far.

Pick: Jets 23, Broncos 17

3:05 p.m. Raiders (2-3) at 49ers (0-5)

Line: 49ers by 6.5 Over/under: 41

If Raiders were hoping to get upper hand in Bay Area, now's the time. 49ers consistently hurt themselves with mistakes.

Pick: Raiders 28, 49ers 24

3:15 p.m. Cowboys (1-3) at Vikings (1-3)

TV: WFLD-Ch. 32

Line: Vikings by 1.5 Over/under: 44.5

Both Super Bowl contenders-pretenders are reeling. A key will be keeping heat off Tony Romo, which Cowboys couldn't do vs. Titans.

Pick: Vikings 17, Cowboys 12

7:20 p.m. Colts (3-2) at Redskins (3-2)

TV: WMAQ-Ch. 5

Line: Colts by 3 Over/under: 43.5

Redskins have some vulnerabilities in secondary, and if anyone can exploit them, it's Peyton Manning. Colts have lost two on road.

Pick: Colts 28, Redskins 20

7:30 p.m. Monday Titans (3-2) at Jaguars (3-2)

TV: ESPN

Line: Titans by 3 Over/under: 45

Left-for-dead Jaguars are back on feet after winning two in row. They have not had much luck stopping Chris Johnson, though.

Pick: Titans 21, Jaguars 16

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