The forecast for tonight's game is pretty good, which -- if recent history serves -- will be pretty bad for the Orioles.
The O's entered Thursday with the best home record in the major leagues at 13-5, despite weather that has been consistently cold, windy, rainy or all of the above. It's been pretty miserable and it has definitely impacted the club's sagging early attendance, but don't wish too hard for a beautiful weekend.
For one thing, you're not going to get one. Tonight is supposed to be nice, but thunderstorms are expected in the area on Friday and Saturday.
For another, a close look at the first 18 games of the home schedule seem to indicate that the Orioles should not be complaining about the weather.
They have lost five times at home this year and there has not been appreciable precipitation in any of those games. Maybe you didn't make the connection because you were too busy enjoying being dry, but it's true, at least according to the historical weather site called Weather Underground.
April 19: The high temperature was 69 degrees and there was no rain. The Orioles suffered their first home loss -- 4-3 to the Toronto Blue Jays.
April 30: There was 0.02 inches of rain that day and none of it came during the Orioles' 8-7 loss to the Chicago White Sox.
May 1: There actually was a half-inch of rain on this day, but it was over two hours before the Orioles took the field and lost again to the White Sox, 7-1. It was pretty chilly that day, however -- 52 degrees at game time.
May 4: If there is an exception here, this is it, though there was no measurable rain during the Orioles' 7-0 loss to the Yankees. Part of the game was played in a light drizzle, during which Tyler Wilson traded five scoreless innings with CC Sabathia. When it started to clear up, the Yankees started to hit and scored seven late-inning runs.
May 7: This, of course, was the day of the doubleheader against the Oakland A's, so we'll have to look at the hour-by-hour historical weather chart to prove this point. There was some drizzle in the early morning, but there was no rain between 1 p.m. and 4 p.m. and the Orioles lost the first game during that time slot, 8-4. Curiously, they scored three of their runs in the ninth inning, just as the rain started to resume. The nightcap was played in a fairly steady mist and drizzle and, of course, they scored a 5-2 victory to split the twinbill.
What does all this prove? Probably nothing, but every time Buck Showalter starts one of his press briefings with a complaint or comment about the seemingly non-stop precipitation this spring, I remind him to count his weather-related blessings.