"PBS NewsHour," once one of the nation's most influential broadcasts, is on the brink of marginalization — if not extinction.
And for those of us who believe TV needs at least one noncommercial, nightly, national newscast in these increasingly corporate times, that's a cause for concern.
The "NewsHour" has lost 48 percent of its audience in the past eight years, going from an average audience of 2.5 million viewers a night in 2005 to 1.3 million in fiscal year 2013 (PBS shows are measured in fiscal years).
That eight-year window was not chosen arbitrarily to find a headline-grabbing set of numbers.
With "NewsHour" in the news itself these days — after the first layoffs in its 38-year history and as partners Jim Lehrer and Robert MacNeil negotiate with WETA to have that Washington station take full ownership of the show — I went back to an interview I did with Lehrer in 2005 to try to remind myself what it was that I once liked so much about the newscast.
What instead seized my attention was the size of the audience as reported in that interview — and the huge loss since.
Of course, everyone in broadcast news has been losing big chunks of audience the last decade. But not like this.
The decline for "ABC World News" the past eight years has been 16 percent, while "NBC Nightly News" has lost 17 percent of its audience. "CBS Evening News," meanwhile, is down 22 percent. That's an average of 18 percent for the three commercial nightly news shows.
Furthermore, while the networks are talking average audience — the average number of people watching at any given minute — PBS is quoting cumulative figures — how many viewers the show "reaches" in live-plus-seven-days viewing.
By the more widely accepted standard, "NewsHour" is now under a million viewers a night, drawing an average audience of 949,000 viewers a night, according to Nielsen figures provided by a spokeswoman for the show last week.
But that's only the tip of the iceberg when it comes to how far "PBS NewsHour" has fallen from the days of MacNeil and Lehrer, when it was considered essential nightly viewing for millions.
In Baltimore during the recently concluded October sweeps, the average nightly audience for "NewsHour" was 5,505 viewers overall, with 1,827 in the prime news demographic of 25 to 54 years of age, according to Maryland Public Television, which carries the show.
By comparison, "NBC Nightly News with Brian Williams," which runs opposite the last 30 minutes of the one-hour PBS show drew an average audience in Baltimore in October of 104,000 viewers, with 29,000 of them in the prime demographic. That's 19 times larger in overall audience.
If "NBC Nightly News" defines a national newscast, what do you call "NewsHour"?
And that's not limited to Baltimore.
MinnPost, self-defined as "a nonprofit, nonpartisan enterprise whose mission is to provide high-quality journalism for news-intense people who care about Minnesota," drilled down last week on the "NewsHour" audience there.
It found an audience of "about 1,800 people" in the 25- to 54-year-old demographic watching "NewsHour," which it characterized as "startling" after doing some additional math and discovering that it amounted to 0.1 of a ratings point.
For the record, local news on WBAL-TV, the Hearst-owned NBC affiliate in Baltimore, drew an audience of 76,000 viewers, with 26,000 in the key demographic, airing opposite the first 30 minutes of "NewsHour" from 6 p.m. to 6:30 p.m. weeknights in Baltimore during October. That's an audience 13 times as large as that of "NewsHour."
Nor are the "NewsHour" troubles limited to ratings and money these days.
After 14 years, Ray Suarez left the PBS newscast last month. He has since joined Al Jazeera America, where he will start Monday as anchor of the nightly prime-time show "Inside Story."
Suarez left "NewsHour" as chief national correspondent, but it is clear he felt passed over when Gwen Ifill and Judy Woodruff were named co-anchors, ending a rotation at the anchor desk that included Suarez.
"If you weren't one of the anchors, you weren't getting the prominent interviews and you weren't getting the top story," Suarez told TheWrap, a West Coast entertainment website. "And to be locked out of that after 14 years was not a good situation for me, so I had to go."
He also compared "NewsHour," unfavorably, to his new employer.
Suarez added, "Frankly, it's not living hand to mouth as the 'NewsHour' was and is. … It's got bureaus all over the world. It's got reporters and bureaus all over the United States.'"
His departure has larger ramifications for some Latino viewers.
"The departure of veteran journalist Ray Suarez from the 'NewsHour' has sent shock waves to viewers," says Martha Grimes, vice chair of the National Hispanic Media Coalition, Inc. "Latinos, with a booming USA population, are missing in action behind and in front of the cameras. … With Suarez's departure, no Latinos occupy senior positions at the 'NewsHour' and, more generally, 'NewsHour' is severely lacking Latino anchors, senior correspondents and producers."
For better or worse, "NewsHour" has bet its future on Ifill, a former Evening Sun reporter. In addition to being named co-anchor in the latest shuffle, she is also the managing editor. But whereas Lehrer was generally considered a nonpartisan figure appealing to viewers across the political spectrum, Ifill has allowed herself to be closely linked to the Obama administration.
Some questioned her suitability as moderator for a vice presidential debate in 2008, given a book she published that year, "Breakthrough: Politics and Race in the Age of Obama," that included the Democratic presidential candidate.
Last year, she emceed an event honoring Katherine Sebelius, Obama's secretary of health and human services, an action even the PBS ombudsman questioned.
Outside of the overtly partisan MSNBC, nowhere is Obama treated more favorably than he is on "NewsHour" and the other PBS show Ifill hosts, "Washington Week."
But in the end, while that might narrow the audience for "NewsHour," I believe there is an even bigger problem behind the telecast's lack of relevance and loss of audience.
Unlike network and cable dinner time newscasts, the PBS show doesn't actually report much news anymore. It mainly talks about news that others have reported.
Ifill, Woodruff and others interview reporters and analysts from other news organizations who have already gathered the news and shared it with their readers, viewers and listeners on-air, online and in social media. In that sense, what PBS viewers are getting is secondhand.
We do need a nightly, national, public TV newscast that can compare with National Public Radio's "All Things Considered." That is crucial to democracy.
But I am convinced that what's left of "NewsHour" is not that newscast.
"PBS NewsHour" airs 6 p.m. to 7 p.m. weeknights on MPT (Channels 22, 67).