Two local broadcast meteorologists are predicting another colder-than-normal winter with above-average snowfall.
Justin Berk, a former TV meteorologist who now offers updates on his own website and Facebook page, forecasts about 30 inches of snow at Baltimore-Washington International Thurgood Marshall Airport. There is about 18-20 inches there each winter, on average.
Based on recovery in Arctic sea ice and Siberian snow cover and chances for a jet stream pattern similar to last winter's, Berk predicts "extensive" Arctic outbreaks bringing temperatures well below average.
WMAR-TV meteorologist Mike Masco issued a season outlook that calls for a winter "just as rough if not worse" than last year's given signs that a pattern spilling Arctic air across the eastern United States continues.
Masco expects 28 to 35 inches of snowfall in Baltimore City, with as much as 50 inches in northern and western counties.
Both forecasts offer predictions more specific than those of scientists at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. The NOAA winter forecast released last month said there are no strong climate signals suggesting how temperatures might trend in the mid-Atlantic and across much of the eastern U.S., with chances for a mild winter in New England.
That is consistent with NOAA's Climate Prediction Center's outlook for the winter months, with chances for cooler-than-average weather across the southern tier of states and warmer-than-average temperatures in the West, along the Canadian border and in New England.