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Maryland governor's race: Democratic primary poll tracker

Below is a compilation of independent polls assessing voter preferences in the June 26 Democratic primary for Maryland governor. The April Goucher Poll gauged how Democratic candidates would fare against Republican Gov. Larry Hogan in the Nov. 6 general election.

June 2018

Gonzales

Rushern Baker 25%
Ben Jealous 22.6%
Richard Madaleno 9.1%
Kevin Kamenetz and Valerie Ervin~ 7.1%
Jim Shea 6.3%
Krish Vignarajah 5.3%
Alec Ross 1.8%
Ralph Jaffee 0.6%
James Jones 0.2%
Undecided 22%

~Kevin Kamenetz died of cardiac arrest on May 10, 2018. His former running mate, Valerie Ervin, ran in his place before suspending her campaign on June 13. Gonzales included Kamenetz in the poll to reflect what voters will see on the official ballot.

From June 4-10 landline and cellphone poll of likely Democratic voters. Margin of error: ±4.5% View the full results and methodology.


Baltimore Sun-University of Baltimore

Ben Jealous 16%
Rushern Baker 16%
Valerie Ervin# 5%
Rich Madaleno 4%
Jim Shea 4%
Krish Vignarajah 4%
Alec Ross 1%
Someone else 6%
Undecided 44%

#Suspended campaign on June 13

From May 29-June 6 landline and cellphone poll of likely Democratic voters. Margin of error: ±4.4% View the full results.


Washington Post-University of Maryland

Ben Jealous 21%
Rushern Baker 16%
Valerie Ervin# 8%
Rich Madaleno 6%
Jim Shea 4%
Krish Vignarajah 4%
Alec Ross 2%
No opinion/other 39%

#Suspended campaign on June 13

From May 29-June 3 landline and cellphone poll of likely Democratic voters. Margin of error: ±6% View the full results and methodology.


April 2018

Goucher Poll

Larry Hogan 44%
Rushern Baker 31%
Undecided 22%

Larry Hogan 44%
Ben Jealous 31%
Undecided 22%

Larry Hogan 45%
Kevin Kamenetz^ 28%
Undecided 23%

Larry Hogan 45%
Rich Madaleno 27%
Undecided 26%

Larry Hogan 46%
Alec Ross 26%
Undecided 26%

Larry Hogan 47%
Jim Shea 27%
Undecided 25%

Larry Hogan 45%
Krish Vignarajah 25%
Undecided 27%

^Kevin Kamenetz died of cardiac arrest on May 10, 2018. His former running mate, Valerie Ervin, ran in his place before suspending her campaign on June 13.

From April 14-19 landline and cellphone poll of Maryland adults. Margin of error: ±3.9% View the full results and methodology.


February 2018

Mason-Dixon

Rushern Baker 26%
Kevin Kamenetz^ 15%
Ben Jealous 14%
Rich Madaleno 4%
Krish Vignarajah 3%
Jim Shea 3%
Alec Ross 2%
Ralph Jaffe 1%
Undecided 32%

^Kevin Kamenetz died of cardiac arrest on May 10, 2018. His former running mate, Valerie Ervin, ran in his place before suspending her campaign on June 13.

From Feb. 20-24 landline and cellphone poll of likely Democratic voters. Margin of error: ±4.5% View the full results and methodology.


Goucher Poll

Rushern Baker 19%
Kevin Kamenetz^ 12%
Ben Jealous 10%
Rich Madaleno 2%
Alec Ross 3%
Jim Shea 2%
Krish Vignarajah 2%
Ralph Jaffe 1%
Other candidate 1%
Undecided 47%

^Kevin Kamenetz died of cardiac arrest on May 10, 2018. His former running mate, Valerie Ervin, ran in his place before suspending her campaign on June 13.

From Feb. 12-18 landline and cellphone poll of likely Democratic voters. Margin of error: ±4.8% View the full results and methodology.


January 2018

Gonzales

Rushern Baker 24%
Kevin Kamenetz^ 14.2%
Ben Jealous 13.8%
Maya Rockeymoore Cummings* 5.8%
Richard Madaleno 4.8%
Krish Vignarajah 1.6%
Alec Ross 1.4%
Jim Shea 1%
Ralph Jaffee 0.4%
Undecided 33%

*Suspended campaign on Jan. 5

^Kevin Kamenetz died of cardiac arrest on May 10, 2018. His former running mate, Valerie Ervin, ran in his place before suspending her campaign on June 13.

From Dec. 27-Jan. 5 landline and cellphone poll of likely Democratic voters. Margin of error: ±4.5% View the full results and methodology.


September 2017

Goucher Poll

Rushern Baker 13%
Doug Gansler+ 11%
Kevin Kamenetz^ 8%
Maya Rockeymoore Cummings 8%
Ben Jealous 6%
Rich Madaleno 2%
Jim Shea 2%
Alec Ross 1%
Krish Vignarajah 1%
Other candidate 2%
Undecided 44%

+Never entered race

^Kevin Kamenetz died of cardiac arrest on May 10, 2018. His former running mate, Valerie Ervin, ran in his place before suspending her campaign on June 13.

From Sept. 14-18 landline and cellphone poll of likely Democratic voters. Margin of error: ±5.4% View the full results and methodology.

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