ANALYSIS
The popular choice will be Kentucky Derby winner Street Sense (8), and it's difficult to argue with that choice. But this race is full of notable speed, and it could set up for a stalker who hangs just behind the pace. If Curlin (4) learned his lesson in his first defeat, he could redeem himself. The rail doesn't figure to open wide again for Street Sense, who saved so much ground in Kentucky he could rally to prevail rather easily from 19th. Don't ignore Hard Spun (7), who has been off the board only once in seven starts and has Mario Pino on his home track, and Circular Quay (3) should get a better trip than in the Derby. The pick is Curlin by a fraction.
SUN LONG SHOT
Xchanger (2) ran a huge race in the Tesio, comes in well-rested and is the only entry with a win over the track. He's worth a look.
WHAT TO BET
Win
Curlin (4)
Exacta
Box Curlin (4) with Street Sense (8), Hard Spun (7) and Circular Quay (3).