Bowling Green (8-3) vs. Memphis (8-3)
Where: Ladd-Peebles Stadium, Mobile, Ala.
Time, TV: 8, ESPN
Key stats: Bowling Green is fourth in the nation in total offense (501.6 ypg) but 67th in total defense (389.9 ypg). Memphis is 10th in total offense (464.6 ypg) but 84th in total defense (405.0 ypg).
About Bowling Green: Sophomore QB Omar Jacobs has been phenomenal (330.6 ypg, 36 TDs, 3 interceptions). In four games against teams that finished with winning records, the defense allowed an average of 39.5 points.
About Memphis: RB DeAngelo Williams is third in the nation in rushing (166.2 ypg, 21 TDs). He had four 200-yard games this season. QB Danny Wimprine is inconsistent (18 TDs, 13 interceptions). Memphis has allowed just five sacks.
The buzz: You like defense? Well, hide your eyes. There should be points aplenty in this one.
The line: Bowling Green by 4.
The pick: Memphis, 43-38.
- Orlando Sentinel