Military expands ties in the gulf


WASHINGTON - Amid strains in American ties with Saudi Arabia, the United States has significantly expanded its strategic relationship with the smaller emirates and monarchies of the oil-rich Persian Gulf, which could play a key role as bases for U.S. troops and equipment in the event of an American attack on Iraq.

The U.S. military presence in Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, Oman and the United Arab Emirates has been growing since the Persian Gulf war in 1991. But the growth has accelerated as U.S. forces launched military action against the Taliban and al-Qaida in Afghanistan and began preparing for a possible invasion of Iraq.

The Pentagon recently announced that the U.S. Central Command would place a forward headquarters in Qatar for an exercise in November. Some outside analysts expect Central Command chief Gen. Tommy Franks, who visited Qatar and Kuwait last week, to make his headquarters there during a war with Iraq. And the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, Gen. Richard B. Myers, predicted that the Tampa, Fla.-based command will move its headquarters permanently to the region, possibly to Qatar.

"When the balloon goes up, it will be all that much easier" as a result of these preparations, said retired Rear Adm. Richard H. Baker, a senior fellow at the Center for Defense Information, an independent research group.

The U.S. military expansion in these small gulf states helps fill a major strategic shortcoming exposed by the 1990 Iraqi invasion of Kuwait, when U.S. officials realized they had insufficient forces and equipment in the region to defend oil fields vital to Western economies.

It took weeks for U.S. forces to get into position to defend Saudi Arabia, the world's largest oil producer, and several months more to build up its offensive might to drive Iraqi troops from Kuwait.

The years after the gulf war also drove home to the Pentagon the acute political sensitivity of stationing U.S. forces on Saudi soil and of using the kingdom to launch offensive military operations against another Arab or Muslim country.

The warm attitude of successive Saudi monarchs toward the United States has drawn protests from dissidents, and the presence of U.S. troops in the land of the Islamic shrines at Mecca and Medina is a source of resentment for the powerful Wahhabi Muslim religious establishment. Exiled Saudi terrorist Osama bin Laden has cited the presence of U.S. troops on Saudi soil as the chief justification for his war against the United States.

U.S. analysts say Saudi Arabia will remain a crucial ally because the kingdom dwarfs the other gulf monarchies in size, population, wealth and influence in the Arab world and beyond.

"You can't bypass Saudi Arabia strategically," said Anthony H. Cordesman, a specialist in Middle East security at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington.

The Saudis have recently held open the possibility of allowing the United States to use forces based in the kingdom for an attack on Iraq - provided the war is authorized by the United Nations. But some of the smaller gulf states have fewer inhibitions about openly cooperating with the United States.

Slow to democratize

Once controlled by the British empire, America's new strategic allies in the Persian Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz have undergone drastic changes since the oil price increases of the 1970s, deepening their ties to the United States and playing a growing - and moderating - role in Arab politics.

But while rapidly modernizing, they have been slow to democratize, preferring instead to preserve the gulf tradition of consensus-building among tribal leaders. And the smaller gulf states aren't immune to the same anti-American fervor that makes the Saudi rulers nervous. But they don't share the Saudis' inhibitions about openly cooperating with the United States.

While the Pentagon won't give a breakdown by country, unofficial estimates say 10,000 U.S. military personnel are based in Kuwait, where the Central Command has its permanent regional Army headquarters.

Bahrain, which has a long-standing, but growing, relationship with the U.S. Navy, is host to the 5th Fleet and also serves as regional headquarters for the Marine Corps and for a force of Navy Seals.

The United States is using Al Udeid Air Base, which is outside Qatar's capital, Doha; it has a 15,000-foot runway, the longest in the gulf region. A command-and-control center at the base is loaded with sophisticated equipment rivaling that of the Prince Sultan base in Saudi Arabia, said Baker of the Center for Defense Information.

Oman is building a 14,000-foot runway and serves as a hub for U.S. airlift operations, according to the center, noting that the B-1 bomber force operating in the region is probably based in Oman.

The United States enjoys access to air and naval facilities in the United Arab Emirates, where stocks of U.S. military equipment are stored. The UAE has also agreed to permit the stationing of an Army brigade with 120 tanks, said Cordesman, the Middle East analyst.

The closest bond

Of the small gulf states, Kuwait and its 2 million inhabitants may have the closest bond with the United States, having been liberated by a U.S.-led military coalition in 1991 after a brutal seven-month Iraqi occupation. The state still feels a threat from Iraq.

Kuwait's enormous oil wealth - an estimated 94 billion barrels - allowed the New Jersey-sized emirate to build up foreign reserves that helped underwrite the gulf war, run a government-in-exile from Saudi Arabia and later repair the heavy damage to its oil fields caused by Saddam Hussein's forces. Kuwait has also been a key aid donor to poorer Arab states.

Governed for 2 1/2 centuries by the al-Sabah family, Kuwait grants voting rights only to citizens whose families have lived there for more than a generation. It has a parliament, but no political parties.

In recent months, Qatar, population 769,000, has been more visible than Kuwait in showcasing its relationship with Washington as it builds ties on Capitol Hill and with influential think tanks.

Once one of the world's poorest countries but now cushioned by oil and gas earnings, Qatar has made the biggest strides toward political openness.

Sheik Hamad bin Khalifa al-Thani, who deposed his father in a bloodless coup in 1995, has declared his aim to democratize Qatar. The country has municipal elections and a relatively free press, including the state-funded al-Jazeera satellite network, which has angered the United States by providing a platform to bin Laden and al-Qaida.

The tiny archipelago of Bahrain is likewise becoming more democratic, starting with municipal elections. But despite its Shia Muslim majority, this country of 645,000 remains in firm control of Sunni Muslims, who include the ruling al-Khalifa family as well as the armed forces and security services.

With limited oil supplies due to run out in 15 years, Bahrain has striven to diversify its economy and has become a major aluminum manufacturer, shipping port and regional financial center.

The UAE, seven loosely federated desert sheikdoms headed by the ruler of the richest of them, Abu Dhabi, hug the gulf in an area once known as the "pirate coast" because of its inhabitants' penchant for raiding foreign ships. Huge oil deposits have transformed an economy that at one time was based on fishing, pearls and livestock.

Now its sun-drenched cities feature towering skyscrapers, deepwater ports, marinas and well-watered gardens. Its population of 2.4 million, in which foreign workers outnumber citizens, enjoys prosperity but no formal political power.

Sprawling Oman, once a trading post for arms and slaves, is the most diverse of the United States' gulf allies, with a population of 2.6 million that speaks the languages of Arabia, the Indian subcontinent and Africa; a climate ranging from desert heat to monsoon rains; and a religious mix of Sunni and Shia Muslims, Hindus and Christians.

Though enriched by oil and gas, Oman maintains its traditional trades of farming and fishing, exporting dates and limes. It remains firmly under the one-man rule of Sultan Qaboos bin Sa'id al-Said, who is not only prime minister but minister of defense, foreign affairs and finance.

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