WASHINGTON -- The United States and NATO officials, looking ahead to a postwar Kosovo, favor the creation of a United Nations-protected zone, policed by an international force with sizable Russian participation, officials said yesterday.
While publicly vowing to press relentlessly ahead with their bombing campaign, Western allies are quietly exploring a solution to the crisis that would deprive Yugoslav President Slobodan Milosevic of control of Kosovo. At the same time, by offering Russia a major role, the allies hope to prevent a deepening rift between the West and Moscow, a long-standing ally of Serbia.
The idea of a U.N. protectorate emerged on the eve of a meeting today in Oslo between Secretary of State Madeleine K. Albright and Russia's foreign minister, Igor Ivanov, that U.S. officials hope will repair badly frayed relations between Washington and Moscow.
As the campaign of airstrikes ended its third week, a missile from a NATO aircraft, intended for a nearby bridge, slammed into a passenger train yesterday in Yugoslavia, killing at least nine people and injuring 16, said Yugoslav authorities.
The aircraft was attacking the railroad bridge about 155 miles southeast of Belgrade when it inadvertently struck the train, NATO and Pentagon officials said. The bridge was being used to transport military supplies, officials said.
"I can tell you that NATO has released the fact that a bridge was attacked, and there was an indication there may have been a train on that bridge," said Air Force Maj. Gen. Charles F. Wald, a military spokesman, who provided no details. "They're reviewing that right now."
Changing focus of attacks
Weather continued to hamper allied attacks throughout Yugoslavia, with 24 targets struck in the past two days. The focus of the air campaign is increasingly turning to Serbian army and police forces fighting in Kosovo, Wald said, with targets including fuel, channels of communication, roads and bridges, command and control, air defense, and some industry for long-term sustainment. Six military convoys have been attacked by NATO airstrikes in recent days, officials said.
In Brussels, Belgium, NATO allies united in a show of resolve to continue bombarding the forces and infrastructure of Milosevic's war machine. NATO Secretary-General Javier Solana assigned top priority to the safe return of Kosovo's hundreds of thousands of ethnic Albanians, who have either fled or been forced out of the province by Serbian forces.
While insisting that air power can do the job, U.S. and NATO officials, under pressure from some members of Congress, have acknowledged that contingency plans exist for a ground invasion that could quickly be revised to meet new conditions.
Seeking middle ground
The outlines of a postwar Kosovo are beginning to take shape. NATO officials are trying to forge a middle ground between nationhood for the province and rule by Belgrade. Some kind of U.N. protectorate would deny control to Milosevic while avoiding any formal redrawing of national boundaries in the Balkans.
"A U.N. protectorate is the flavor with the least amount of negatives," a U.S. official said.
"We're heading in that direction," a NATO official added. Though a partitioning of Kosovo hasn't been ruled out, American officials and some allies oppose it as perhaps opening the way to Kosovar independence.
Under a U.N. protectorate, or trusteeship, Milosevic would be denied immediate sovereignty over the province. Yugoslavia would not likely regain control for as long as his regime is in power, the NATO official said.
"On the other hand, no one wants to go down the route of a greater Albania or independence" for Kosovo, said the NATO official.
A powerful international force would be sent in to provide a safe return for the hundreds of thousands of refugees now in Albania and Macedonia. Rather than it being solely a NATO force, officials now speak of the alliance as providing the "core" of such a force.
This could allow for NATO commanders to lead the force but for non-NATO countries -- chiefly Russia -- to play a vital role in the leadership. Current figures call for the force to number 28,000, including 4,000 Americans.
Russia already has a role in the NATO-led peacekeeping force in Bosnia-Herzegovina and it supplied half the U.N. force in Crotia's eastern Slavonia.
U.N. welcomed
In a nod to U.N. involvement in settling the conflict, Albright yesterday welcomed a "very positive statement" Friday by U.N. Secretary-General Kofi Annan, who said he would urge an immediate bombing halt if Yugoslavia met a series of conditions that closely parallel NATO's. These include:
An end to intimidation and expulsion of Kosovo's population.
A complete cease-fire.
Acceptance of the return of refugees and displaced people.
Acceptance of an international force.
Verification of compliance by the international community.
Though the idea of a U.N. protectorate is gaining favor with Russian participation in mind, NATO officials want Russia to renew pressure on Milosevic to halt the conflict and stop Moscow's inflammatory anti-Western, pro-Belgrade rhetoric, which one official called "over the top."
U.S. intelligence officials see signs from Belgrade that the Milosevic regime may be looking for a way out of the conflict: In a French press interview published Sunday, Vuk Draskovic, the deputy prime minister, said Yugoslavia would accept "a foreign presence" to guarantee a political accord.
Show of negotiations
But Belgrade seems to be using the Kosovar Albanian leader Ibrahim Rugova in a show of negotiations. American officials say he is being held under house arrest in Pristina, and Albright said yesterday that he and his family want to be allowed to leave the country.
Pentagon officials expect Milosevic to continue to work on a peace deal, to try to force a wedge in the alliance and to continue an aggressive campaign against the NATO forces.
If all else fails, Milosevic may opt for a partition of Kosovo, according to defense analyses.
Intelligence reports indicate that Serbian army and police forces are moving into a more defensive mode, and top commanders are operating from underground bunkers.
"I think they are kind of hunkering down a little bit next to some of the villages," Wald said. "And whether that is because they are concerned about being attacked from the air or whether they are running out of fuel, or whether that's their tactic, remains speculation, I think."
Pub Date: 4/13/99