SUBSCRIBE

Selection Sunday is 114 days away, but staff writer Don Markus gets a jump on the selection committee with his seeded predictions for the field of 64

THE BALTIMORE SUN

1. Duke

Conference: Atlantic Coast

Last year: 32-4

Tournament result: Lost to Kentucky in South final

Player to watch: Elton Brand

Skinny: The Blue Devils have the best shot to win it all since going to the final in '94.

2. Connecticut

Conference: Big East

Last year: 32-5

Tournament result: Lost to North Carolina in East final

Player to watch: Richard Hamilton

Skinny: The Huskies are rich in guards, but need to beef up frontcourt to win their first title.

3. Stanford

Conference: Pac-10

Last year: 30-5

Tournament result: Lost to Kentucky in NCAA semifinals

Player to watch: Arthur Lee

Skinny: Five returning starters could help Cardinal rule come March.

4. UCLA

Conference: Pac-10

Last year: 24-9

Tournament result: Lost to Kentucky in South semifinals

Player to watch: Baron Davis

Skinny: Baby Bruins will be all grown up by the time the tournament starts.

5. Temple

Conference: Atlantic 10

Last year: 21-9

L Tournament result: Lost to West Virginia in West first round

Player to watch: Lamont Barnes

Skinny: John Chaney finally has talent to match his team's work ethic.

6. Maryland

Conference: Atlantic Coast

Last year: 21-11

Tournament result: Lost to Arizona in West semifinals

Player to watch: Steve Francis

Skinny: New faces could put the Terps over the top in quest for first Final Four.

7. Kansas

Conference: Big 12

Last year: 35-4

Tournament result: Lost to Rhode Island in Midwest second round

Player to watch: Lester Earl

Skinny: With lower profile, Jayhawks might do better than in recent years.

8. Kentucky

Conference: Southeastern

Last year: 35-4

Tournament result: Beat Utah for national title

Player to watch: Scott Padgett

Skinny: Repeating is always difficult and Wildcats have much to replace.

9. Utah

Conference: Western Athletic

Last year: 30-4

Tournament result: Lost to Kentucky in NCAA title game

Player to watch: Andre Miller

Skinny: If point guard Miller is at the top of his game, so might the Utes.

10.Michigan State

Conference: Big Ten

Last year: 22-8

L Tournament result: Lost to North Carolina in East semifinals

Player to watch: Mateen Cleaves

Skinny: Spartans want to prove they have more than point guard Cleaves.

11. Rhode Island

Conference: Atlantic 10

Last year: 25-9

Tournament result: Lost to Stanford in Midwest final

Player to watch: Lamar Odom

Skinny: With power shifted to the frontcourt, the Rams could be tough.

12. Cincinnati

Conference: Conference USA

Last year: 27-6

Tournament result: Lost to West Virginia in West second round

Player to watch: Pete Mickeal

Skinny: Bearcats will be deep, but can they stay distraction-free?

13. North Carolina

Conference: Atlantic Coast

Last year: 34-4

Tournament result: Lost to Utah in NCAA semifinals

Player to watch: Ed Cota

Skinny: Despite inexperience, never count out Tar Heels and Bill Guthridge.

14. Tennessee

Conference: Southeastern

Last year: 20-9

Tournament result: Lost to Illinois State in West first round

Player to watch: Tony Harris

Skinny: The Vols are finally ready to give fans something other than the women to root for in March.

15. Xavier

Conference: Atlantic 10

Last year: 22-8

Tournament result: Lost to Washington in East first round

Player to watch: Gary Lumpkin

Skinny: Senior backcourt needs to lead the Musketeers.

16. Washington

Conference: Pac-10

Last year: 20-10

Tournament result: Lost to Connecticut in East semifinals

Player to watch: Todd MacCulloch

Skinny: The Other Huskies are looking to build on last year's Sweet 16.

17. Purdue

Conference: Big Ten

Last year: 28-8

Tournament result: Lost to Stanford in Midwest semifinals

Player to watch: Carson Cunningham

Skinny: The Boilermakers still need more muscle to survive in tournament.

18. Oklahoma State

Conference: Big 12

Last year: 22-7

Tournament result: Lost to Duke in South second round

Player to watch: Adrian Peterson

L Skinny: Fast Eddie Sutton has not slowed down in Stillwater.

19. Arizona

Conference: Pac-10

Last year: 30-5

Tournament result: Lost to Utah in West final

Player to watch: Jason Terry

Skinny: Wildcats must replace more than 70 points a game.

20. Coll. of Charleston

Conference: Southern

Last year: 24-6

Tournament result: Lost to Stanford in Midwest first round

Player to watch: Sedric Webber

Skinny: New league with similar results.

21. Arkansas

Conference: Southeastern

Last year: 24-9

Tournament result: Lost to Utah in West second round

Player to watch: Pat Bradley

Skinny: The short-lived dynasty is a distant memory, but Hogs will be there.

22. Syracuse

Conference: Big East

Last year: 26-9

Tournament result: Lost to Duke in South semifinals

Player to watch: Ryan Blackwell

Skinny: The second-best the Big East has to offer behind Connecticut.

23. Wake Forest

Conference: Atlantic Coast

Last year: 16-14

Tournament result: Lost to Vanderbilt in NIT second round

Player to watch: Robert O'Kelley

Skinny: Last year's NCAA tournament snub can turn into this year's motivation.

24. New Mexico

Conference: Western Athletic

Last year: 24-8

Tournament result: Lost to Syracuse in South second round

Player to watch: Kenny Thomas

Skinny: Lobos might not have the team they've had the last three years, but Thomas is still a force.

25. Georgia

Conference: Southeastern

Last year: 20-15

Tournament result: Lost to Penn State in NIT semifinals

Player to watch: G.G. Smith

Skinny: Dawgs will need better shooting from Ray Harrison to get back to Sweet 16.

26. Indiana

Conference: Big Ten

Last year: 20-12

Tournament result: Lost to Connecticut in East second round

Player to watch: A.J. Guyton

Skinny: The man with three titles won't get a fourth, but will get his team in for a 14th straight year.

27. St. John's

Conference: Big East

Last year: 22-10

Tournament result: Lost to Detroit in Midwest first round

Player to watch: Erick Barkley

Skinny: Even without Felipe Lopez and Zendon Hamilton, cupboard isn't bare for Mike Jarvis.

28. Minnesota

Conference: Big Ten

Last year: 20-15

Tournament result: Defeated Penn State in NIT final

Player to watch: Joel Przybilla

Skinny: The Gophers probably won't last more than a round in NCAAs.

29. Massachusetts

Conference: Atlantic 10

Last year: 21-11

Tournament result: Lost to Saint Louis in South first round

Player to watch: Lari Ketner

Skinny: Coach Bruiser Flint has to win some games in March to erase any question marks.

30. Oklahoma

Conference: Big 12

Last year: 22-11

Tournament result: Lost to Indiana in East first round

Player to watch: Ryan Humphrey

Skinny: More of a share-the-points philosophy than in recent years.

31. Ala.-Birmingham

Conference: Conference USA

Last year: 21-12

Tournament result: Lost to Minnesota in NIT second round

Player to watch: Eric Holmes

Skinny: Shooter Damon Cobb needs to improve defense.

32. UNLV

Conference: Western Athletic

Last year: 20-13

Tournament result: Lost to Princeton in East first round

Player to watch: Shawn Marion

Skinny: The Runnin' Rebels have returned to prominence under Billy Bayno.

33. Miami of Ohio

Conference: Mid-American

Last year: 17-12

Tournament result: Did not go to postseason tournament

Player to watch: Wally Szczerbiak

Skinny: A year after heart attack, Charlie Coles will coach in NCAAs.

34. Tulsa

Conference: Western Athletic

Last year: 19-12

Tournament result: Did not go to postseason tournament

Player to watch: Michael Ruffin

Skinny: Ruffin is one of the best unknown players in the country.

35. South Carolina

Conference: Southeastern

Last year: 23-8

Tournament result: Lost to Richmond in East first round

Player to watch: BJ McKie

Skinny: After being upset in first round last two years, Gamecocks will be glad to get there.

36. George Washington

Conference: Atlantic 10

Last year: 24-9

Tournament result: Lost to Okla. State in South first round

Player to watch: Shawnta Rogers

Skinny: Colonials will be smaller without Alexander Koul, but better.

37. Auburn

Conference: Southeastern

Last year: 16-14

Tournament result: Lost to Marquette in NIT second round

Player to watch: Mamadou N'diaye

Skinny: With full allotment of scholarships, Tigers will make first trip under Cliff Ellis.

38. Memphis

Conference: Conference USA

Last year: 17-12

Tournament result: Lost to Fresno State in NIT second round

Player to watch: Jimmie Hunter

Skinny: The Tigers need to stay healthy, especially in the backcourt.

39. Texas Christian

Conference: Western Athletic

Last year: 27-6

Tournament result: Lost to Florida State in Midwest first round

Player to watch: Lee Nailon

Skinny: Billy Tubbs' Horned Frogs must learn defense.

40. Clemson

Conference: Atlantic Coast

Last year: 18-14

Tournament result: Lost to Western Michigan in Midwest first round

Player to watch: Terrell "Boogie" McIntyre

L Skinny: A lot of Boogie nights are still left at Littlejohn.

41. California

Conference: Pac-10

Last year: 12-15

Tournament result: Did not go to a postseason tournament

Player to watch: Geno Carlisle

Skinny: Bears should benefit from overall strength of Pac-10.

42. Dayton

Conference: Atlantic 10

Last year: 21-12

Tournament result: Lost to Penn State in NIT second round

Player to watch: Tony Stanley

Skinny: Stronger nonconference schedule should help the Flyers get in.

43. Saint Louis

Conference: Conference USA

Last year: 22-11

Tournament result: Lost to Kentucky in South second round

Player to watch: Matt Baniak

Skinny: Even the departure of Larry Hughes shouldn't hold back Billikens.

44. Texas

Conference: Big 12

Last year: 14-17

Tournament result: Did not go to a postseason tournament

Player to watch: Kris Klack

Skinny: A killer early schedule will either be a blessing or a curse for new coach Rick Barnes.

45. Penn State

Conference: Big Ten

Last year: 19-13

Tournament result: Lost to Minnesota in NIT title game

Player to watch: Calvin Booth

Skinny: NIT-tany Lions should be NCAA Lions this season.

46. SW Missouri State

Conference: Missouri Valley

Last year: 16-16

Tournament result: Did not go to a postseason tournament

Player to watch: Danny Moore

Skinny: After knocking at door in recent years, Steve Alford's team should get in.

47. St. Mary's

Conference: West Coast

Last year: 12-15

Tournament result: Did not go to a postseason tournament

Player to watch: Brad Millard

Skinny: The Big Continent's return should boost Gaels.

48. Detroit

Conference: Midwestern Collegiate

Last year: 25-6

Tournament result: Lost to Purdue in Midwest second round

Player to watch: Jermaine Jackson

Skinny: Win over St. John's in last year's tournament will be boost to Dickie V's former team.

49. Iona

Conference: Metro Atlantic

Last year: 27-6

Tournament result: Lost to Syracuse in South first round

Player to watch: Kashif Hameed

Skinny: Jeff Ruland's return should be a triumphant one.

50. UNC-Wilmington

Conference: Colonial Athletic

Last year: 20-11

Tournament result: Lost to Wake Forest in NIT first round

Player to watch: Stan Simmons

Skinny: After going to first NIT, Seahawks should be invited to a bigger dance this year.

51. New Mexico State

Conference: Big West

Last year: 18-12

Tournament result: Did not go to a postseason tournament

Player to watch: Charles Gosa

Skinny: Lou Henson lost three starters, but signed eight players.

52. Hofstra

Conference: America East

Last year: 19-12

Tournament result: Did not go to a postseason tournament

Player to watch: Craig Claxton

Skinny: Return of starting lineup should bring first NCAA bid in 22 years.

53. Murray State

Conference: Ohio Valley

Last year: 29-4

Tournament result: Lost to Rhode Island in Midwest first round

Player to watch: Marvin Gay

Skinny: The Racers lost two star guards, but should win fourth straight in Ohio Valley.

54. Arkansas State

Conference: Sun Belt

Last year: 20-9

Tournament result: Did not go to postseason tournament

Player to watch: Chico Fletcher

Skinny: Fletcher runs the show for the Indians with 8.3 assists a game.

55. Northern Arizona

Conference: Big Sky

Last year: 21-8

Tournament result: Lost to Cincinnati in West first round

Player to watch: Casey Frank

Skinny: Lumberjacks have led country in three-point shooting for two straight years.

56. Valparaiso

Conference: Mid-Continent

Last year: 23-10

Tournament result: Lost to Rhode Island in Midwest semifinals

Player to watch: Zoran Viskovic

Skinny: These Cinderellas are missing a Drew, but still could be dancing in March.

57. Mount St. Mary's

Conference: Northeast

Last year: 13-15

Tournament result: Did not go to a postseason tournament

Player to watch: Melvin Whitaker

Skinny: Could this be Jim Phelan's last hurrah?

58. Georgia State

Conference: Trans-America

Last year: 16-12

Tournament result: Did not go to a postseason tournament

Player to watch: Kevin Morris

Skinny: With College of Charleston gone, Lefty will make his move on the TAAC.

59. Princeton

Conference: Ivy

Last year: 27-2

Tournament result: Lost to Michigan State in Midwest second round

Player to watch: Gabe Lewullis

Skinny: Despite loss of three starters, Tigers will rule Ivy.

60. Coppin State

Conference: Mid-Eastern

Last year: 21-8

Tournament result: Did not go to postseason tournament

Player to watch: Fred Warrick

Skinny: Four starters are gone, but Fang Mitchell retools rather -- than rebuilds.

61. Texas Southern

Conference: Southwestern Athletic

Last year: 15-16

Tournament result: Did not go to a postseason tournament

Player to watch: Leeland Redmond

Skinny: After winning league but losing SWAC tournament, Tigers are on a mission.

62. Navy

Conference: Patriot

Last year: 19-11

Tournament result: Lost to North Carolina in East first round

Player to watch: Reggie Skipworth

Skinny: Mids going after third straight trip.

63. Southwest Texas

Conference: Southland

Last year: 17-11

Tournament result: Did not go to a postseason tournament

Player to watch: Donte Mathis

Skinny: Mathis scored in double figures every game last season.

64. UNC-Asheville

Conference: Big South

Last year: 19-9

Tournament result: Did not go to a postseason tournament

Player to watch: Kevin Martin

Skinny: After buzzer-beating loss to Radford, Bulldogs will bite back.

Tournament schedule

East: 1st, 2nd rounds - March 12 & 14, at Boston and Charlotte, N.C.; Regionals - March 19 & 21, at Syracuse, N.Y.

South: 1st, 2nd rounds - March 11 & 13, at Orlando, Fla., and Indianapolis; Regionals - March 18 & 20, Knoxville, Tenn.

Midwest: 1st, 2nd rounds - March 12 & 14, at Milwaukee and New Orleans; Regionals - March 19 & 21, at St. Louis.

West: 1st, 2nd rounds - March 11 & 13, at Seattle and Denver; Regionals - March 18 & 20, at Phoenix.

Final Four: Semifinals - March 27, Final - March 29, at Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, Fla.

Pub Date: 11/13/98

Copyright © 2021, The Baltimore Sun, a Baltimore Sun Media Group publication | Place an Ad

You've reached your monthly free article limit.

Get Unlimited Digital Access

4 weeks for only 99¢
Subscribe Now

Cancel Anytime

Already have digital access? Log in

Log out

Print subscriber? Activate digital access