It's a draft that Denver Nuggets general manager Dan Issel describes as not having "an immediate-impact player," a draft that Seattle SuperSonics general manager Wally Walker says is "not particularly star-heavy," a draft in which possibly the best player, Nigerian-born Michael Olowokandi, has been seen by few fans outside the Big West Conference.
So that, naturally, translates to a weak draft, right?
Unlike a year ago, when Tim Duncan and Keith Van Horn had "can't miss" written all over them, there will be few instant superstars available when the NBA holds its annual draft in Vancouver, British Columbia, tonight. And yet, after sifting through all the underclassmen and high school stars, through the athletes carrying personal baggage and the European standouts, this draft will likely yield a good number of future NBA talents.
"This draft at one time looked rather bleak," said Boston Celtics general manager Chris Wallace. "But as is usually the case, the closer you get to [the draft], the more time you spend on it, the more guys we've seen, the more possibilities open up."
Unlike a year ago, when Duncan was the clear first choice after four years at Wake Forest, the main thing in focus tonight is the question of who will be the top two selections. When the Los Angeles Clippers make the first selection, the pick will be between point guard Michael Bibby of Arizona or Olowokandi, a 7-foot-1 center from the University of the Pacific who has played organized basketball for just three years.
Growing up as the son of a Nigerian diplomat in London, Olowokandi focused on track in high school. And yet because of his size, he was constantly asked whether he was a basketball player.
Eventually, Olowokandi decided to give the sport a try and, picking up an American college directory, blindly began to make calls to schools. The first school on his list was Pacific, whose coaches had immediate interest after hearing the caller was more than 7 feet tall.
In three years, Olowokandi went from a tall, clumsy project who had never played five-on-five basketball to All-America honorable mention his senior year, when he averaged 22.2 points, 11.2 rebounds and 2.9 blocks.
"Every year, we [NBA teams] are in search of a center," said Scott Layden, vice president of basketball operations for the Utah Jazz. "He's got great size, looks like he enjoys the game. He's young to the game, and that's intriguing, because it looks like he has some growth ahead of him.
Said Issel of Olowokandi: "He does have a lot of potential, but then again, potential gets a lot of coaches fired."
Here's the dilemma for the Clippers: pick a player considered to have a tremendous upside, Olowokandi, or take a more polished player, Bibby, considered the best point guard in the draft after ,, just two seasons at Arizona.
"Mike Bibby is the type of player who would come in and have an impact on a team," said Elgin Baylor, vice president of basketball operations for the Clippers. "He's a young point guard, but he really has a good feel for the game.
"If you look at all the guards in the draft, he's probably the purest point guard, and he'll only get better. He's already improved his shooting and his understanding of the game."
Should the Clippers pick Bibby, expect the Vancouver Grizzlies to take Olowokandi with the second pick -- and then trade him, because the team already has Bryant Reeves at center.
But from there, the draft becomes a blur. Will the Nuggets select Paul Pierce, the 6-7 swingman from Kansas, who has impressed teams with his ability to score inside and out?
And where will Antwan Jamison, the consensus college Player of the Year, be drafted? Once considered a possible top pick, Jamison could be selected anywhere from three to nine because of questions about what forward position the 6-9, 223-pounder will play in the NBA.
"Is he a small forward and is his outside shot good enough?" asked Boston Celtics coach Rick Pitino. "Is he an inside player, and is he tall enough? So that's the big question. We all know he played in one of the best conferences in basketball, came out with incredible statistics and he's a competitor and plays hard all the time. Where his position is, I'm not sure."
There are four high school players entered in this year's draft, but it's likely that just two will be selected -- Al Harrington, a 6-8 forward from St. Patrick's High School (N.J.), considered the best of the prep players, and Rashard Lewis, a 6-10 center from Alief Elsik High School in Houston, whom NBA scouting guru Marty Blake says "needs a lot of work."
Not expected to be drafted in the first round -- which means a guaranteed three-year contract -- is Korleone Young, a 6-7 forward from Hargrave Military Academy (Va.), who did not impress scouts during the pre-draft camp.
With the draft expected to have a strong foreign influence, it's likely you'll need a pronunciation guide in the first round.
Perhaps the best of the foreign stars is Dirk Nowitzki, a 6-11 forward who scored 33 points for the International Juniors during the Nike Hoop Summit during Final Four weekend. But Nowitzki, who turned 20 last week, has hinted he might play overseas, which might affect his draft position.
"I can definitely see where he can go [in the top seven]," said Jerry Reynolds, director of player personnel for the Sacramento Kings. "He's a gifted kid, a Detlef Schrempf kind of player, probably more athletic. So he's kind of a wild card."
Among locals, Maryland's Rodney Elliott and Virginia's Norman Nolan (both from Dunbar) have perhaps the best shot at being drafted in the second round.
Viewers of the draft will definitely need a scorecard to keep up with the no-names and the new names, the youngsters and the foreign-grown talent.
But a thin draft? This year's draft may lack immediate-impact players, but it does contain players who will likely have long, profitable careers.
"I do believe the lottery at least appears to be deeper than last year, given the lack of success of last year's class," Vancouver general manager Stu Jackson said. "But there are no Tim Duncans or Keith Van Horns in this draft."
When: Tonight, 7: 30
A5 Facts: There will be two rounds of 29 picks each.
Drafts to forget
A year ago, Tim Duncan and Keith Van Horn were labeled can't-miss players in a draft that proved to be strong, but this year's draft is expected to be one of the thinnest in years. Here is what turned out to be the most forgettable draft over the past 15 years, followed by some other recent forgettable draftees:
1. Brad Daugherty, Cleveland: Had solid career
2. Len Bias, Boston: Franchise has yet to recover from his death
3. Chris Washburn, Golden State: A wasted talent
Chuck Person, Indiana: Still playing with Spurs
Kenny Walker, New York: "Sky Walker" became "Street Walker" or "Sleep Walker" in forgettable NBA career
William Bedford, Phoenix: A waste of 7 feet
7. Roy Tarpley, Dallas: Substance abuse ruined career
Ron Harper, Cleveland: NBA champion
9. Brad Sellers, Chicago: "Sad" Sellers
10. Johnny Dawkins, Philadelphia: Nice, long career
11. John Salley, Detroit: Fortunate to play alongside NBA legends
12. John Williams, Washington: Drowned in a sea of all-you-can-eat buffets
13. Dwayne Washington, New Jersey: Playground legend, NBA bust
9. Todd Fuller, Golden State
9. Ed O'Bannon, New Jersey
2. Shawn Bradley, Philadelphia
7. Bobby Hurley, Sacramento
12. Harold Miner, Miami
8. Mark Macon, Denver
8. Bo Kimble, L.A. Clippers
12. Alec Kessler, Miami
13. Mike Smith, Boston
3. Dennis Hopson, New Jersey
Pub Date: 6/24/98