Last week Michael Dresser writing for the Baltimore Sun had a story on advice to Democratic Lt. Gov. Anthony G. Brown and Republican Larry Hogan in their respective quests to become the next governor of Maryland. The content was pretty much what one might expect.
Given the registration advantage by party for Brown, the race is his to lose. Hogan has only a small chance of winning. Brown will be able to outspend Hogan by millions of dollars.
Based on past history that all makes sense, but I've been observing Hogan on the campaign trail, such as at parades and other events, and his social media efforts. He hasn't gotten the memo that he cannot win.
Hogan and his Lt. Governor ticket-mate Boyd Rutherford are campaigning with energy and enthusiasm. The public reaction I've observed both live and on social media has got to be encouraging to the GOP candidates.
The Dresser article did not make note of the recent Maryland poll that indicated that 47 pecent of our population desire to leave our state. I would imagine the tax and fee increases of the last eight years contribute to such a sour mood. I imagine Hogan's television advertisements over the next couple of months will emphasize these points.
No doubt the Hogan-Rutherford campaign will remind voters of the rain tax in coming months as well.
Nate Cohn, writing for the New York Times had an article on August 14 that illustrated some parallel dynamics of population migration between California and Texas. Cohn wrote, "Over the last few decades, millions of Californians have left the Golden State for opportunities elsewhere."
The state gaining the most Californian born citizens was Texas, according to the report. The story noted that about 680,000 native Californians now live in Texas. The next highest recipient state according to The New York Times, was Arizona, with more than 590,000 folks born in California now in Arizona.
Texas Gov. Rick Perry has been making trips to many blue-hued states attempting to lure business away from more heavily taxed and more heavily regulated states to the Lone Star state. These efforts have included paid media advertisements. Maryland has been one of the states Perry has targeted.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics reports the Texas unemployment rate at 5.1 percent for this June. The same agency reports Maryland's rate is 5.8 percent also for June. One might say that's not a bad comparison given that Texas has abundant oil and gas production.
Perhaps Hogan would counter that Maryland has the potential to create jobs in the natural gas field by allowing fracking in are western most counties. O'Malley has blocked such production, perhaps with an eye to wooing future Democratic primary voters in a potential run for president.
The choice Maryland voters face is whether we want to essentially endorse a third term for the policies of Gov. Martin O'Malley. Brown as current lieutenant governor pretty much owns the last eight years of the O'Malley-Brown record.
No doubt Hogan will remind voters in television ads that Brown was in charge of implementation of Maryland's version of the Affordable Care Act. I recall a rather interesting televised interview with WBAL TV's investigative reporter Jayne Miller from earlier this year.
She was attempting to interview Brown about his role with the Affordable Care Act and problems with the Maryland website for this implementation during the contested Democratic primary this year. I found Brown to be quite evasive during that interview. No doubt portions of that video footage will find their way into television ads for Hogan.
History may not be on Hogan's side, but I admire his spirit in taking his vision for turning things around in our state.
Michael Zimmer writes from Eldersburg. His column appears Fridays. Email him at email@example.com.