Name | Team | Bye
The Skinny


1. Drew Brees | NO | 10
There are no signs of slowing down for Brees, who has averaged 4,627 passing yards and 32 touchdowns the past three seasons

2. Aaron Rodgers | GB | 10
Rodgers' rocket arm, scrambling ability (five rushing TDs in '09) and weapons make him a fine choice should you miss out on Brees

Advertisement

3. Peyton Manning | IND | 7
As safe of a pick as they come, the only concern with Manning is his availability in Weeks 15 and 16

4. Tony Romo | DAL | 4
Romo, the triggerman on a loaded Dallas offense, has learned to limit his mistakes. He threw nine INTs in '09, down from 19 in '07

5. Philip Rivers | SD | 10
 I was tempted to drop Rivers down this list due to the potential absence of his left tackle and top wide receiver, but he'll still produce without Marcus McNeill and Vincent Jackson

6. Tom Brady | NE | 5
Brady out of the top five? Age and injuries are the concern, and I'm not referring to Brady. He should be back at full strength, but I worry about Randy Moss and Wes Welker.

7. Matt Schaub | HOU | 7
Schaub played 16 games and put up big numbers last season, but until he shows he can do it again, I'm not taking him high in the draft

8. Jay Cutler | CHI | 8
Cutler was an interception machine a year ago, but I'm buying into the Mike Martz hype. Under his new coordinator, Cutler could throw the ball 600 times this season

9. Matt Ryan | ATL | 8
Nevermind all that talk about his "sophomore slump" in '09. Ryan still threw 22 TDs in 14 games. He'll be on the rise this season, much like another notable QB from his draft class…

10. Joe Flacco | BAL | 8
Before you grab Flacco, who's being hyped as a breakout candidate, in the first round, remember that the Ravens are a balanced team that likes to run the rock. The passing attack will be much more efficient than in years past, but the Ravens will only open things up when it's necessary

11. Eli Manning | NYG | 8
It always feels like a bummer when you get stuck with Little Eli as your starter, but he threw for 4,021 yards and 27 TDs last season, so you can certainly do a lot worse

12. Carson Palmer | CIN | 6
We know Palmer can be an elite QB, and he has a bunch of new toys (T.O., Antonio Bryant, Jermaine Gresham), but how often are they going to let him throw the ball?

13. Kevin Kolb | PHI | 8
I'm not confident in Kolb's ability to run this high-octane offense in his first year. But there's a ton of upside, so he's worth rolling the dice on if your team is stacked elsewhere

14. Donovan McNabb | WAS | 9 
Statistically, it would seem McNabb's production is in for a decline in D.C., but never count out a guy with a chip on his shoulder (unless it's McNabb in the playoffs, of course)

15. Ben Roethlisberger | PIT | 5
He's a sleazeball and he's facing a maximum six-game suspension, but I'd gladly grab him in the later rounds as a high-upside backup in case he has a huge second half

16. Chad Henne | MIA | 5
Henne is a serious sleeper. He's got a strong arm, a productive running game and now he has in Brandon Marshall, an elite receiver who actually made Kyle Orton look good sometimes

Advertisement

17. Vince Young | TEN | 9
Young is 27, so you have to wonder how much of his potential has yet to be tapped. His rushing numbers help, but if he's throwing more and running less in '10, steer clear

18. Alex Smith | SF | 9
Last season, he started to shed that bust label, putting up decent numbers when the 49ers switched to the spread. If they stick with it, Smith could really surprise

19. Matt Leinart | ARI | 6
It's fair to wonder if Leinart is capable of replacing Kurt Warner. I guess we'll see. But even if he's half the quarterback Warner was, Leinart can still put up OK numbers in this offense

20. Brett Favre | MIN | 4
Favre said yesterday that he won't return for a 37th season in 2010. But if he changes his mind, he'll be a lock for at least 25 TD passes in this offense. Keep an eye on Favre Watch before your draft, and if Favre really is retiring, Tavaris Jackson would be a solid upside pick as your backup QB

21. Jason Campbell | OAK | 10
22. Matthew Stafford | DET | 7
23. David Garrard | JAX | 9
24. Mark Sanchez | NYJ | 7
25. Matt Cassel | KC | 4 
26. Matt Hasselbeck | SEA | 5
27. Kyle Orton | DEN | 9
28. Matt Moore | CAR | 6
29. Josh Freeman | TB | 4
30. Jake Delhomme | CLE | 

Sleeper: Matthew Stafford didn't crack the top 20, but the Lions gave the top pick in 2009 some help at wide receiver, running back and tight end

Bust: You can take a chance with Philly's Kevin Kolb as your starter, but I'll take a pass, thanks

Rookie: Jimmy Clausen probably won't be the Week 1 starter, but he has a better opportunity to put up much better numbers in Carolina than Sam Bradford in St. Louis

You tell me: Who would you take if Drew Brees, Aaron Rodgers and Peyton Manning were off the board?

Advertisement
Advertisement
Advertisement