It's the eve of the first round of the NFL draft, and it would take a samurai sword to cut through the smoke screens of misinformation floating around the league. We hear the Chiefs are definitely taking a tackle. The Browns claim they're not hot for Jimmy Clausen. The Raiders actually think they know what they're doing. What's fact and what's fiction? I'm not sure, but here are my best guesses.
1. Rams: Sam Bradford, QB, Oklahoma. The Rams are keeping their options open by not agreeing to a deal with Bradford (right, thanks AP) before Thursday night. But I don't see a team trading a boatload of picks to move up to No. 1. Not this year. St. Louis finally gets its new franchise QB — though it's two years too late.
2. Lions: Ndamukong Suh, DT, Nebraska. Suh will be the centerpiece of the Lions' revamped defensive line. With the big man on board, maybe they'll get to four wins in Motown this year?
3. Bucs: Gerald McCoy, DT, Oklahoma. Like the Lions, the Bucs get their stud defensive tackle of choice. McCoy, a quick, penetrating tackle, who some rate higher than Suh, will be a great fit in Tampa.
4. Redskins: Russell Okung, OT, Okla. State. Taking Okung, the draft's top tackle, is a no-brainer.
5. Chiefs: Eric Berry, S, Tennessee. The Chiefs have plenty of options to fill plenty of needs. They could select OT Trent Williams or WR Dez Bryant. But players like Berry don't come around very often. You've got to grab them when you get the chance.
6. Seahawks: Trent Williams, OT, Oklahoma. This workout warrior is the type of athlete that Pete Carroll used to lure to USC. Now with his first pick as the head honcho in Seattle, he'll draft Williams to take over for Walter Jones as a cornerstone left tackle.
7. Browns: Dez Bryant, WR, Okla. State. Texas QB Colt McCoy is the right guy for the Browns' new West Coast offense, so expect them to target him early in Round 2 instead of Jimmy Clausen here. And with Berry going to K.C., Cleveland selects Bryant, the most dynamic playmaker in the draft.
8. Raiders: Bruce Campbell, OT, Maryland. The Raiders are always a wild card on draft day, reaching for freakish athletes who look like superstars with the pads off. That being said, they typically draft for their biggest need. Campbell is the intersection of those two Oakland draft philosophies this year.
9. Bills: Jimmy Clausen, QB, Notre Dame. If the Bills take Clausen, they neglect their turnstile O-line. But hey, at least Clausen showed in his time at Notre Dame that he's mobile and can take a hit.
10. Jaguars: Derrick Morgan, DE, Ga. Tech. The Aaron Kampman signing was smart, but the Jags need to do more to improve their pass rush. Morgan is the most pro-ready defensive end in the draft.
11. Broncos: Rolando McClain, ILB, Alabama. He'll be a great fit in the middle of Denver's 3-4 D.
12. Dolphins: Earl Thomas, S, Texas. Trading for Brandon Marshall shored up their biggest need. They also need a nose tackle (Dan Williams fits the bill), but this rangy safety is a better selection.
13. 49ers: Joe Haden, CB, Florida. The 49ers will be ecstatic if Haden, a top-10 talent, drops to them.
14. Seahawks: C.J. Spiller, RB, Clemson. I'm not sold on Spiller (left, thanks AP) as a consistent between-the-tackles runner, but he's a home-run threat on every touch. Seattle will use him like Reggie Bush in New Orleans.
15. Giants: Dan Williams, NT, Tennessee. Yes, they need a middle linebacker to replace Antonio Pierce, but like the Ravens, the Giants usually take the best player on their board. That's Williams, who will clog up running lanes in the middle of their 4-3 D.
16. Titans: Jason Pierre-Paul, DE, S. Florida. Tennessee hopes JPP will be the second coming of Jevon Kearse — minus the injuries and inconsistency.
17. 49ers: Bryan Bulaga, OT, Iowa. Bulaga had issues against speed rushers at Iowa, plus his thyroid condition is a red flag, so don't be surprised if he falls out of the top 10. He may be better suited as a right tackle, and that's exactly what the 49ers need here.
18. Steelers: Anthony Davis, OT, Rutgers. The Steelers finally get serious about protecting their franchise QB — even if he keeps going out of his way to put their reputation at risk away from the field.
19. Falcons: Everson Griffen, DE, USC. They can focus on the pass rush with Dunta Robinson on board.
20. Texans: Kyle Wilson, CB, Boise St. A lot of mocks have the Texans taking a back here. But when you're in a division with Peyton Manning, you'd better make sure you have corners who can cover.
21. Bengals: Jermaine Gresham, TE, Oklahoma. Need meets value here. Gresham is clearly the top tight end in the draft, and the Bengals certainly need to add a good one to their stagnant passing attack.
22. Patriots: Sergio Kindle, OLB/DE, Texas. Kindle can be Bill Belichick's Swiss-Army-knife outside linebacker in the Patriots' 3-4 defense — the versatile player Adalius Thomas was supposed to be.
23. Packers: Brandon Graham, OLB/DE, Michigan. Kampman was a fish out of water when they made him an outside 'backer, so it's not surprising he walked. Graham, who led the nation in tackles for loss, is a more natural fit in the edge rusher spot.
24. Eagles: Mike Iupati, G, Idaho. Iupati is on the radar of teams in the teens, but guard won't be a top priority in such a stacked draft. Philly has other needs, too, but sure could use this bullish guard.
25. Ravens: Maurkice Pouncey, C/G, Florida. For an explanation of the pick, click here.
26. Cardinals: Sean Weatherspoon, OLB, Missouri. Weatherspoon played on the outside in college, but he's big enough, fast enough and strong enough to make an impact on the inside, where there is a large void left by the departure of Karlos Dansby.
27. Cowboys: Taylor Mays, S, USC. Dallas could use Mays' size and speed in its secondary.
28. Chargers: Ryan Mathews, RB, Fresno St. The Chargers need a lead back to pair with Darren Sproles. Mathews, a strong inside runner is the leading candidate, but don't rule out Cal's Jahvid Best.
29. Jets: Jared Odrick, DE, Penn State. It ain't flashy, but they've had enough flash this offseason.
30. Vikings: Kareem Jackson, CB, Alabama. He can do a little bit of everything: cover, play zone, come up in run support — kind of like Antoine Winfield.
31. Colts: Charles Brown, OT, USC. He's agile, athletic and intelligent, and though he's a bit undersized, it's OK because the Colts are a finesse team.
32. Saints: Brian Price, DT, UCLA. Saints DT Sedrick Ellis hasn't developed into a Pro Bowl-type player, so they'll give it another try with Price.
- NFL Draft
- Jimmy Clausen
- San Francisco 49ers
- Dan Williams
- Cleveland Browns
- Detroit Lions
- Kansas City Chiefs
- Oakland Raiders
- Ndamukong Suh
- Dez Bryant
- Buffalo Bills
- Cincinnati Bengals
- Houston Texans
- Indianapolis Colts
- New Orleans Saints
- Pittsburgh Steelers
- Los Angeles Chargers
- Seattle Seahawks
- Los Angeles Rams
- New England Patriots