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If the outlook for the Orioles tonight wasn't bad enough, consider that Jeremy Guthrie has pitched pretty well in his first three starts, as evidenced by his 3.15 ERA. Even though he's 0-2, you have to wonder if the law of averages is lurking behind the Green Monster.

Meanwhile, Jon Lester is an uncharacteristic 0-2 with an 8.44 ERA, which tells me he's due to pitch well, especially since he always seems to pitch well against the Orioles.

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The pressure is on both teams and both pitchers. The Red Sox are trying to fight their way back from a very slow start and we all know the situation for the Orioles. They need to win the series at Fenway Park to buffer speculation about the job security of manager Dave Trembley. Good luck with that.

Tonight's game is the first of 12 straight against the Red Sox and Yankees. Good luck with that, too.

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