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Winter Meetings: Oriole updates

Just trying to get up to speed this morning in Indianapolis while wondering if I'm the only one who knows that the shortest distance between two points when it's first and goal from the 1 is a straight line. I'm still marveling at how hard the Ravens had to work to lose last night's game in Green Bay, but I've got smaller fish to fry here at the Winter Meetings.

Right now, I'm waiting to see if the Orioles can put together a trade with the Texas Rangers for pitcher Kevin Millwood, who would fit my description of the kind of veteran pitcher who would help stabilize the young Orioles rotation. I'm going to speculate -- and this is only based on baseball logic and the overall economic situation -- that if the Orioles get a deal done, they'll give up one of their next-level pitching prospects and assume about three quarters of his $12 million guarantee for next season.

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If I had to guess, the chances of Andy MacPhail completing a trade for Millwood here is probably below 50 percent, but when you're talking about deals for veteran players, 30 or 40 percent would be a pretty good probability.

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