5. This team probably wasn't as good as its record last year might have led us to believe. In baseball, at the beginning of every year, stat heads like to examine the record of teams in one-run games the previous season. If you win a huge percentage of one-run games, chances are you're going to regress a little bit the following season because luck and chance play a role. In 2008, the Ravens stayed healthy, got some breaks, and won a lot of close games. This year, they're not getting those same breaks, they're not creating the same breaks, and it's showing. Had the Ravens gone 9-7 last year under a first-year head coach with a rookie quarterback, it's unlikely anyone would have been predicting a Super Bowl berth. But because they went 11-5, beat a medicore Dolphins team, and because the Titans choked in the playoffs yet again, it seemed like they were better than they were. This team can still beat every team on its schedule, and by no means is everything lost, but issues in the secondary and on the defensive line, plus no real specific identity on offense, are going to make the playoffs a real long shot.