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Based on the comments today by Dave Trembley -- and some poking around -- the Orioles are down to six candidates for the three spots in the starting rotation after Jeremy Guthrie and Koji Uehara, and you could probably make the case that it's really down to three candidates for the fifth spot. I think at this point, it's fair to assume that Adam Eaton and Mark Hendrickson are in, leaving Danys Baez, Alfredo Simon, Brian Bass and Hayden Penn to battle for the last job.

If I was a betting man, I'd probably go with Baez, even though Trembley has been saying a lot of nice things about Simon and Bass. Penn may get one more start to stretch out, but he probably starts the season as the long guy.

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I'm told there is little chance of the Orioles plucking a pitcher off waivers before Opening Day, so my whole "mystery starter" theory has gone out the window.

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