1. Albert Pujols, Cardinals
He's the No. 1 pick overall. Check out what Pujols has averaged over the last three years: .331, 45 homers, 126 RBIs, 127 runs. Ridiculous. He even won his first Gold Glove last season. Pujols set a career-high with 49 homers in '06 despite playing in a career-low 143 games because of injury. Look for him to surpass 50 bombs this season.
2. Ryan Howard, Phillies
In his first full season in the majors, the National League MVP hit .313 with 58 homers and 149 RBIs. Howard is an obvious first-round pick, and Pujols only gets the nod because he's done it longer and will post a superior average. The only thing that could slow Howard's power numbers will be who's batting behind him. The Phillies' slugger walked 108 times in '06, and pitchers will likely take their chances with No. 5 hitter Pat Burrell, who led the NL in strikeouts looking last season.
3. Mark Teixeira, Rangers
He slumped at the beginning of '06, managing just nine homers at the All-Star break. But look for Teixeira to build on his monster second half when he hit 24 homers to go along with 110 RBIs. He's averaged 38 homers over the past three seasons, and expect Teixeira to hit more than 40 in '07. He hasn't missed a game since 2004.
4. Lance Berkman, Astros
The 8-year veteran set career-highs with 45 homers and 136 RBIs in '06 at 30-years-old. He also hit .315 and missed just 10 games all season. Project him to bat around .300 with 40 homers and 120 RBIs. Not bad.
5. Justin Morneau, Twins
The American League MVP set career-highs with a .321 average, 34 homers and 130 RBIs in '06. At 26-years-old, there's no reason to believe he can't put up similar numbers this season. If you really like Morneau, take him ahead of Berkman, but not ahead of the other three guys.
6. Derrek Lee, Cubs
A broken wrist sidelined Lee from April until late June, but that shouldn't worry you for '07. Consider last season a wash. In 2005, Lee was phenomenal, hitting 46 homers to go along with 107 RBIs while hitting .335. He might not match those power numbers, but 35 homers and 100 RBIs are not out of the question. Lee is also one of the few first basemen with speed. He stole 15 bases in '05.
7. Paul Konerko, White Sox
Sometimes overlooked, few players have been as consistently productive as Konerko over the past three seasons. Since 2004, he's averaged 39 homers and 110 RBIs per season. Last year was the first in three seasons where he didn't hit at least 40 bombs, but he made up for it by posting a career-high .313 average.
8. Carlos Delgado, Mets
How does 10 straight years with at least 30 home runs sound? At 34-years-old, Delgado doesn't appear to be slowing down. He had 38 homers to go along with 114 RBIs in his first season in New York. The only downside was his average (.265), which was lower than it's been since 1997.
9. Jason Giambi, Yankees
Giambi hit .290 or better for seven straight seasons beginning in 1996. However, he hasn't hit better than .271 since 2002, and Giambi managed just a .253 average last season. Still, his power numbers get him in the top-10. Giambi has slugged at least 30 homers in his last seven full seasons. He had 37 bombs to go along with 113 RBIs in '06.
10. Prince Fielder, Brewers
In his first full major league season, Fielder hit .271 with 28 homers and 81 RBIs. At just 22-years-old, he still has alot of potential to fulfill. Expect between 30 and 35 homers from him in '07.
11. Richie Sexson, Mariners
He got off to a brutal start, but ended up with 34 homers and 107 RBIs last season. So why isn't he higher? Sexson hit just .264 and struck out 154 times. But look on the bright side. That was an improvement on his 167 Ks in 2005.
12. Nick Swisher, Athletics
He'll be eligible at first base and in the outfield once again this season. In 2006, Swisher played 90 games at first and 80 in the outfield. He hit 35 homers to go along with 95 RBIs. He's not going to give you much with average (.254 last year) and he struck out 152 times.
13. Adrian Gonzalez, Padres
The former first overall pick (2000) had impressive numbers in his first full major league season. Gonzalez hit .304 with 24 homers and 82 RBIs. He put together a strong second half, hitting .336 after the All-Star break. Expect big things from the 24-year-old.
14. Adam LaRoche, Pirates
He broke out in 2006 with 32 homers and 90 RBIs and then was dealt to Pittsburgh in the offseason. Time will tell if a new ballpark will affect LaRoche's numbers, but he should be able to come close to matching last year's production.
15. Todd Helton, Rockies
It all depends on what you're looking for out of your first baseman. If you want power, Helton is not the guy. He's hit just 35 homers total over the past two seasons. However, Helton's still hit .300 or better in nine straight seasons and is a virtual lock for around 40 doubles.
16. Lyle Overbay, Blue Jays
He had a career year in '06, setting highs in average (.312), homers (22) and RBIs (92). He also hit 46 doubles. Overbay certainly doesn't have the power potential as other guys on this list, but he's a safe option.
17. Nomar Garciaparra, Dodgers
Nomar fought back from a pair of injury-riddled seasons and hit .303 with 20 homers and 93 RBIs for Los Angeles. However, he still missed 40 games and won't put up the power numbers owners are looking for out of their first basemen.
18. Conor Jackson, Diamondbacks
A potential sleeper, Jackson hit .291 with 15 homers and 79 RBIs in his first full major league season. At 24-years-old, his power numbers should improve and he could be poised for a big year.
19. Nick Johnson, Nationals
He set career-highs in '06 with a .290 average, 23 homers, 77 RBIs, 46 doubles and 100 runs scored. Unfortunately, Johnson was involved in a serious collision with Austin Kearns in September and fractured his right femur.
20. Ryan Shealy, Royals
The Rockies sent him to Kansas City last season, where he now becomes the everyday first baseman. Shealy has had less than 300 major league at-bats, but he showed major pop in the minors, hitting 26 homers in Triple-A in 2005 and 29 bombs in Double-A in 2004. And just think if he named a son after me -- Sheil Shealy -- I think I like it.