Last week: 5-10

Overall: 54-81-7


Six-pack: 22-35-3

Six-pack: St. Louis, Green Bay, Washington, Chicago, Minnesota, Arizona


Last week's change of pace didn't work. Since the beginning of the season, I've encouraged readers to go with the opposite of my picks. At first, getting all these games wrong was frustrating. Then it was comical. Now I am flat-out embarassed. So I'm going with the opposite of my own picks (The George Costanza method as I've stated for awhile on this blog). When picking each game, if I'm having a tough time, I usually tell myself there's a million dollars at stake. So I'm doing that this week, only I'm going with the opposite of what I'd pick if the money was on the line. Confused yet? Let's just get to the games.

Raiders at Chiefs

You should know that...Trent Green gets the start for Kansas City. Extremely tough call for Herm Edwards. Damon Huard did a phenomenal job of filling in, throwing 11 touchdowns and one interception. But Green has been a great leader for Kansas City, and he's thrown for 4,000 yards three straight years. I wouldn't start him this week against Oakland. Let him show that he's healthy first.

The pick: Kansas City (-9.5)

Colts at Cowboys

You should know that...Julius Jones got 15 carries last week, and Marion Barber had 14. So while the rule of thumb this year has been to always start your running backs against Indianapolis (the league's worst-ranked run defense), be careful here. Bill Parcells wants to keep Jones fresh since Dallas plays again Thursday.

The pick: Dallas (+1)

Bengals at Saints

You should know that...Drew Brees trails only Donovan McNabb and Peyton Manning in fantasy points for quarterbacks this season. He's thrown for over 300 yards in three straight games. This week, New Orleans faces the league's 28th-ranked pass defense. Make sure Brees is in your lineup.

The pick: New Orleans (-3.5)

Steelers at Browns

You should know that...It's time for reader Mike T.'s weekly bash:

You can now call up Brian Roberts or Melvin Mora and tell them, "I know what it feels like playing in late August with nothing to lose."  Empty seats all around and the one joker, me, sitting in the front row heckling you about losing every night.

The pick: Cleveland (+3.5)

Titans at Eagles

You should know that...These are the types of e-mails I receive from my friends:

Home teams coming off a home win that are favored by 7.5-13 points over an under-.500 team that is coming off of a loss are 0-23.

In other words, Titans (+13).

Sounds good to me.

The pick: Tennessee (+13)

Falcons at Ravens

You should know that...Michael Vick is struggling once again. He tossed seven touchdowns in weeks seven and eight, but has struggled since. In the last two weeks, Vick has thrown two touchdowns and turned the ball over six times. Because of his rushing statistics, Vick is still the No. 6 fantasy quarterback this season.

The pick: Atlanta (+4)

Rams at Panthers

You should know that...After scoring seven times in the first six games of the season, Torry Holt hasn't found the end zone in the last three weeks. Meanwhile, Marc Bulger's stellar season continues. He's thrown 13 touchdowns and two interceptions and is fantasy's fourth-ranked quarterback.

The pick: St. Louis (+6.5)

Bills at Texans

You should know that...Anthony Thomas looks like he'll be a solid fantasy option the rest of the way. With Willis McGahee sidelined for Buffalo, A-Train carried 28 times for 109 yards last week against the Colts. Look for similar numbers this week against Houston.

The pick: Houston (-2.5)

Patriots at Packers

You should know that...Donald Driver is quietly having a phenomenal season. The Packers' wideout is the seventh-ranked fantasy wide receiver. Against the Vikings last week, he had six catches for 191 yards and a touchdown.

The pick: Green Bay (+5.5)

Washington at Tampa Bay

You should know that...Ladell Betts will be the man for the Redskins the rest of the way. Clinton Portis is out for the season, and don't expect Washington to give quarterback Jason Campbell many opportunities to make plays in his first career-start. If Betts is still available in your league, be sure to pick him up.

Redskins (+3)

Bears at Jets

You should know that...Bears running back Thomas Jones has run for 100 yards in two of the last three weeks. He needed 30 carries to reach 113 yards last week. So much for Cedric Benson taking touches away from Jones this season.

The pick: Chicago (-7)

Vikings at Dolphins

You should know that...The pounding associated with being a full-time running back seems to be catching up with Chester Taylor. After putting together three 100-yard games in the season's first three weeks, Taylor hasn't had one since. He's listed as questionable this week with an injured calf.

The pick: Minnesota (+3.5)

Lions at Cardinals

You should know that...Matt Leinart will take some time to adjust to the NFL after all. He threw for four touchdowns in his first two games this season, but Leinart's tossed just one TD since. He's been picked off five times in his last three games.

The pick: Arizona (-2.5)

Chargers at Broncos

You should know that...Javon Walker is on a tear. Denver's wideout has four touchdowns in his last three games, and Marques Colston is the only wide receiver with more fantasy points this season.

The pick: San Diego (+2.5)

Recommended on Baltimore Sun