A few other thoughts: Don't be scared off by Helton's awful first half '05, attributable to a sore back. His totals after July 1 (.383, 13 HRs, 48 RBIs) were vintage Helton. Look for him to bounce back this season, and perhaps come at a slight discount on draft day. ... Konerko made it back-to-back seasons with 40 or more HRs, but you have to wonder how he'll respond to his big pay raise. My guess – his numbers will come down a bit and the Orioles will be glad he turned down their more lucrative offer to return to the White Sox. ... Draft Sean Casey for his.305 career average, but don't expect any help in other categories. A sore shoulder sapped his power last season, and a move to Pittsburgh won't help. Those 24 homers and 99 RBIs in 2004 were his high-water mark. ... If you're looking for a value pick later in the draft, check Chris Shelton, whose low strikeout rate and ability to hit for average bode well for a mild breakout in 2006. ... Baltimore's Jay Gibbons played 22 games at first base last season, which qualifies him for the position in most leagues.