Every Thursday, That Fantasy Guy looks at some of the best and worst fantasy football plays of the week in the Fantasy Forecast.
LINE 'EM UP
QB – Tom Brady, Patriots: It wouldn't be Week 1 if Brady and the Patriots didn't come out firing. Who better to do it against than the Raiders and their generous pass defense.
RB – Rudi Johnson, Bengals: Has four TDs in five career games against the Browns, including two in a Week 12 blowout last season. With Carson Palmer still slightly out of synch, Rudi will run wild.
WR – Roy Williams, Lions: Got off to a fast start a year ago. He'll do it again this season beginning with a big day vs. the Packers, who gave up more passing TDs (33) than any team last season.
TE – Jason Witten, Cowboys: With Antonio Gates suspended and Todd Heap ailing, there aren't many better plays at TE than Witten, whose 87 catches and 980 yards last season ranked second to only Tony Gonzalez at the position.
K - Jeff Reed, Steelers: Pittsburgh will move the ball plenty against a retooled Titans defense. But with no Bus to seal the deal, they'll end up settling for a handful of field goals.
DEF – Buffalo Bills: The Bills defense was among the league leaders in sacks a year ago (45); The Texans surrendered more (49) than any other team. You do the math.
SIT 'EM DOWN
QB – Trent Green, Chiefs: Team says he's healthy and ready to go, but something about a knee surgery, however minor, makes me nervous. Look for Green to match his slow start of a year ago before coming around in Week 2 vs. Oakland.
RB – Chris Brown, Titans: Even with rumored platoon Travis Henry listed as out on the injury report, Brown's lingering hamstring injury plus a matchup against 2004's best run defense (Pittsburgh) means he deserves a seat on the bench.
WR - Andre Johnson, Texans: Opens with a tough matchup on the road against a good Buffalo pass defense and cornerback Nate Clements. If you got other options, use them.
TE – Eric Johnson, 49ers: There's no guarantee Johnson will play in the Niners opener vs. St. Louis – he's listed as questionable. If he plays, there's no guarantee he'll do anything to justify a fantasy lineup spot.
K – Sebastian Janikowski, Raiders: Scoring chances will be few and far between against the Patriots, who surrenedered a league-low 15 field goals in 2005.
DEF – New York Jets: Facing a Chiefs team that ranked just behind the Colts in points per game (30.2) and owns one of the best running back tandems in the game in Priest Holmes and Larry Johnson. If K.C. doesn't score at least 27 points, I'll be surprised.