Both Mayor Greg Ballard and challenger Melina Kennedy claim lead in polls

The question of who is winning in the race for Indianapolis Mayor depends on who you ask, and which poll you read.

Indianapolis

With less than a week left until election day, a lot of people are wondering who is in the lead in the hotly contested Indianapolis mayor's race. The answer depends on who you ask.

There haven't been the usual independent polls tracking the race for mayor, leaving a lot of questions about who is really in the lead.

Ballard's campaign says their most recent poll from last week has Ballard leading Kennedy 51 percent to 39 percent and Libertarian Chris Bown taking 2 percent. There are 10 percent undecided and a 4 percent margin of error.

Mayor Greg Ballard said it's a lead he's not surprised by.

"People are generally very very positive about what we've been doing."

Melina Kennedy's campaign has their own poll showing a different result, though. It shows Kennedy leading Ballard 40 percent to 38 percent with Bowen taking 1 percent and 21 percent undecided.

"To be up 2 at this point in the election for a challenger is great," said campaign spokesman John Mills.  "I think it shows a lot of energy and a lot of momentum on our side."

Mills said the margin of error is at 2 percent.

"Sure, there's always a bit of a margin of error.  But to be up 2 at this point in the election for a challenger is great.  I think it shows a lot of energy and a lot of momentum on our side."

Brian Howey with howeypolitics.com says "beware. Beware. Beware."

Since there isn't an independent polling group this year, Howey said the numbers just aren't reliable.

"Not to say that the numbers aren't valid, but the campaigns that release them certainly want to create a perception."

As for the candidates, while both sides are touting the lead, neither is giving up the fight just yet.

"You don't take anything for granted," Ballard said. "The grassroot effort is still very strong."

Both sides are questioning the opposing campaign's message when it comes to numbers. Republicans are skeptical of the Democrat poll, noting that the company who gathered the data has a history of inaccurate predictions.

Democrats said Republicans have been slow to release polling information because the Ballard campaign is uncomfortable with how close the race is.

Howey said that he has this race listed as a close one. He thinks this will be a race determined by which side can get more of their people to the polls.
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