From Africa to Baltimore: The long path to education for a Hopkins star

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

NOAA predicts above-normal hurricane season, counter to earlier forecasts

NOAA predicts above-normal hurricane season, counter to earlier forecasts

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration forecasters predict a busy Atlantic hurricane season is ahead.

They are calling for 45 percent chances of an active year in the tropics, 35 percent chances of a typical year and only 20 percent chances of a below-normal season.

That is counter to earlier forecasts of a below-normal season, based on expectations that the climate phenomenon known as El Niño was developing.

Gerry Bell, NOAA’s lead seasonal hurricane forecaster, said the outlook “reflects our expectation of a weak or non-existent El Niño” and normal or warmer-than-normal water temperatures across the tropical Atlantic and Caribbean Sea.

...

64°