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Tunisian Revolution (2010-2011)

The year that wasn't

The year that wasn't

A year ago, soon after the Tunisian uprising, I demonstrated my powers of prediction in a column about the democracy movement in the Arab world. The revolution in Tunisia, I wrote, "arose from local circumstances that don't foretell what will happen anywhere else." Three weeks later, Egypt's Hosni Mubarak fell, and the Arab Spring was in full bloom.

This brings me to the subject of today's column: a confession of my year's errors and omissions (along with a mention of one or two things I got right).

It was Rick Perry who led me astray in domestic politics. If it hadn't been for the Texas governor, I might have had a pretty good year. But I surrendered to the...