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100 days to Rio- Medal predictions: Michael Phelps to win five golds

100 days to Rio- Medal predictions: Michael Phelps to win five golds

RIO DE JANEIRO — If the Rio de Janeiro Olympics were held today, the United States would win the most medals — and the most golds. And American swimmer Michael Phelps would collect five more gold medals and a bronze, bringing his overall total to 28 with a career gold-medal haul of 23.

Simon Gleave has been crunching the Olympic numbers for four years, putting them through a data-processing program as the head of analysis for US-based Gracenote, a sports and entertainment data provider.

"In terms of medal-count and order, it's going to be close to what we have," said Gleave, who in 2012, using a less sophisticated program, predicted within four...

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