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Stephen Strasburg
Betting on Bayes-ball [Commentary]
Betting on Bayes-ball [Commentary]

In the beginning, it wasn't about the money. But if the baseball gods deal you a 60 to 80 percent chance of winning, what would you do? On opening day of last year's baseball season, a friend and I waited for our beloved Washington Nationals to take the field under a spring sky that hung above us like blue scrim. To pass the time, we talked shop. We are science geeks, obsessed with guiding public policy with empiricism, with the deluge of information that is "big data." That afternoon, giddy over Bryce Harper's two home runs, I resolved to conduct an experiment. I would demonstrate the power of big data using nothing but my laptop, free software and an Internet...

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