It'll be tough, but he will
Instantly, I was going to say no, that Adrian Peterson isn't going to catch Eric Dickerson because the Vikings face one of the best run-stopping defenses in the NFL in Week 16 — the Texans. They only give up around 93 yards a game. But on Sunday they were gashed for 105 yards by some rookie named Vick Ballard of the Colts.
In the final game, the Vikings face the Packers, who haven't been horrible against the run.
The Texans and Packers will load up to stop Peterson, as has every team he has faced this season. Yet he has still rushed for more than 1,800 yards after being eased into the first four games coming off his ACL injury. After 30 years of holding this record, move aside Eric.
Depends on play calling
For Adrian Peterson to dethrone Eric Dickerson, he will need to average 147 yards over his last two games.
The Texans have the fifth-best run defense in the NFL and the Packers have the 14th best. But it really doesn't matter who the opponent is when Peterson gets rolling. And it really doesn't matter how many defenders they squeeze into the box. He's that good.
A bigger factor might be if the Vikings find themselves playing catchup. If they feel they need to throw to get back in a game, Peterson might not get as many chances as he needs. What he really needs to break Dickerson's record are a few runs of more than half the field.
If he gets his chances, he'll get those runs. And the record.
Final 2 games too tough
Adrian Peterson is the greatest tailback of this decade, and maybe my lifetime. Being the best of this generation is the only way to put what Peterson has accomplished so far in perspective.
But I'm pretty sure Peterson won't break Eric Dickerson's record because he'd need to average 147 rushing yards a game, and that's against a lot of eight-man boxes. Houston and Green Bay have good 3-4 defenses that should be able to contain him to just 100 yards and change. He's averaging 129.4 rushing yards a game, and that's after working his way back from serious knee injury.
Even if Peterson doesn't take down Dickerson's record Peterson is deserving of MVP consideration for the way he has single-handedly kept Minnesota afloat.
Don't doubt this guy
Los Angeles Times
Had you asked me Sunday morning, I'd have said there was no chance Adrian Peterson could, in three games, gain the 506 yards necessary to break Eric Dickerson's record. But after Peterson ran for 212 against the Rams, a team that hadn't surrendered more than 65 yards to a running back in the last four games, I figure it's within his reach.
The Vikings are playing at Houston, which is fifth against the run, and at home against Green Bay, which is 14th. Three weeks ago, he ran for 210 against the Packers. The Vikings are in the thick of the playoff race, so they are primarily focused on winning. But they would love to get Peterson this record.
I don't doubt this guy anymore. I say, yes, he breaks it.