Analysis and betting tips for Saturday's race card at Laurel Park

For The Baltimore Sun
A big day of racing Saturday at Laurel Park and Stan Salter breaks down each race.

Stan Salter's betting tips and analysis for Saturday's race card at Laurel Park:

Race 1, 1:25 p.m. post time

Selections: No. 5 No Brakes, No. 6 Worthy Lion, No. 7 Turbin

It appears that trainer Wayne Potts has the 11-year-old Maryland-bred No Brakes in top form right now, which was evident in his last race when he rallied from 17 lengths back to win going away in a tough Starter Allowance Race. It was the same one-mile distance as today’s race. Jevian Toledo was aboard for the last win and rides this veteran again today, as they try to get career-win #22 for this hard-knocking gelding. Worthy Lion hasn’t been worse than third since last August and will be one of the main threats once again today. Turbin has three wins from eight starts going one-mile and should be able to rally to get a piece of it today.

Race 2, 1:54 p.m.

Selections: No. 4 Hibernia Fire, No. 7 Ballivor. No. 2 R J Bentley

Hibernia Fire figures to be part of the early pace and might get a dream stalking trip like last time when he just missed against Maiden Claiming $25,000. Trainer Robin Graham finds a nice spot for him today and Sheldon Russell will ride him for the first time today. Ballivor had every chance to win last out as the heavy favorite but couldn’t get by the winner. He’ll be the main threat in deep stretch once again today. R J Bentley is trying to figure it out and make his Breeders’ Cup F&M Turf winning dam proud.

Race 3, 2:23 p.m.

Selections: No. 8 Tango Delta, No. 5 Bawlmer Hon, No. 4 Champagne Time

Tango Delta has won her last two races for trainer Jerry Robb and jockey Jevian Toledo. She is well-spotted today and will be rolling late once again on her home track looking for her third win in a row. Bawlmer Hon has never been worse than fourth and broke her maiden last time out against MSW company at Delaware back in June. Champagne Time broke her maiden last out against Maiden $16,000 Claimers and was claimed by the meet’s current leading trainer.

Race 4, 2:53 p.m.

Selections: No. 4 Be Wild, 12 Determined Nation, No. 7 O Dionysus

Be Wild makes his first start today for trainer Crystal Pickett, who is 2-10 with a positive R.O.I. recently with her first-time starters. He is out of Wild Bea, who was stakes-placed and has been a solid producer. This colt is a half-brother to Flattering Bea (also trained by Pickett), who is a multiple stakes-winner with $436K in earnings. He is also a half-brother to Wild Kay, who earned $307K. Determined Nation is by Not For Love and is a half-brother to Fleet Gold Digger, who earned $117K. His second dam won a Grade 2 and earned
 $631K. O Dionysus’ dam earned $75K and this son of Bodemeister is a half-brother to Joy, who earned $250K.

Race 5,  3:20 p.m.

Selections: No. 12 Capucine, No. 9 Pauline’s Pride, No. 11 Moral High Ground

Capucine broke her maiden last out at 40-1 against a very salty ground of MSW runners.  Behind her last out was Girls Secret, who came back to win a MSW at Parx next out, and Vagabond, who returned to earn a 70 Beyer when she beat MSW company here at Laurel last weekend. Trainer Sonja Aleksic galloped the dam, who was a runner, and this filly looks to  have a lot of promise, as she was very tenacious in her win last out. Pauline’s Pride was a  sharp second last out and is a two-time winner on the turf here at Laurel. Moral High Ground has a win, two seconds and two thirds in her last five races.

Race 6, 3:51 p.m.

Selections: No. 12 Ghost Affair, No. 3 Phantom Shot, No. 4 Star Touch

Ghost Affair is the first foal from the well-known Bold Affair, who was a monster around here, won multiple stakes races & earned $719K. She is a daughter of top stallion Ghostzapper and has some decent works posted for trainer Dale Capuano, who gets Sheldon Russell to ride today. Phantom Shot was decent second in her debut to a sharp winner and should improve today in her second start. Star Touch is by top stallion Jump Start and the barn has been doing well with first-time starters.

Race 7, 4:21 p.m.

Selections: No. 3 Ghost Bay, No. 10 Minor Legend, No. 7 All Alone

Ghost Bay has been running well on the dirt and tries the turf for the fi rst time today for trainer Larry Murray. Trevor McCarthy rides this well-bred son of Ghostzapper who is looking for his fi rst win since winning the 2014 Maryland Juvenile Futurity. Minor Legend has been in good form recently sprinting on the grass and gets back to the same distance today that he won to break his maiden last October. All Alone’s two recent starts have been very good and he should be right there again today at 10-1.

Race 8, 4:52 p.m.

Selections: No. 7 Monster Sleeping, No. 10 Everything Lovely, No. 8 Rocky Policy

Monster Sleeping won last year’s Jameela and she has won three of her last four races on the turf here at her home track, Laurel Park. Trainer Dale Capuano has done a superb job managing this 7-year-old Maryland bred who has 10 wins good for $521K in earnings.
Trevor McCarthy, who won on her back in April, takes the call again today. Everything Lovely was second to my top pick in this race last year and will be trying to catch "The Monster" once again today. Rocky Policy is a closing sprinter who should love today’s six-furlong

Race 9, 5:24 p.m.

Selections: No. 9 All Fired Up, No. 5 Pistol Posse, No. 3 Take Achance On Me

All Fired Up has come out of the box living up to his name for the meet’s current leading  trainer Tim Keefe. This son of Friesan Fire had a sharp win against MSW company here at Laurel back on July 4, and followed that win up by fi nishing a solid third against first-level
Allowance company on July 30. Feargal Lynch has been aboard for all three races so far, so it’s great to see him back aboard today. Pistol Posse earned an 82 Beyer last out when finishing third against $40,000 claimers at Delaware Park on July 2. Take Achance On Me has
run some decent races and gets blinkers for the first time today.

Race 10, 5:57 p.m.

Selections: No. 11 Ben’s Cat, No. 1 Rockinn On Bye, No. 2 Just Jack

Ben’s Cat is one of the most popular and accomplished Maryland-breds of all time. And, he is owned and trained by Hall of Fame trainer King T. Leatherbury, who also bred the now 10-year-old. He has won this race the last six years and if he wins today, it will be a world-record seventh consecutive win of a stakes race.

Race 11, 6:24 p.m.

Selections: No. 2 Good Roll, No. 6 Head Games, No. 1 Wednesdays Only

Good Roll has been knocking on the door to break her maiden for trainer Kevin Boniface and she is the main threat today with Trevor McCarthy up. Head Games gets back to her preferred surface for strong connections. Wednesdays Only was a decent third last out and should get a ground saving trip today.

Best bet: Race 10, No. 11 Ben's Cat (8-5)

Day maker: Race 5, No. 12 Capucine (8-1)

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