Edge to Edwards
This is truly a tossup, but give Carl Edwards the edge as the Chase concludes Sunday at Homestead-Miami Speedway.
For starters, Edwards drives for Roush Fenway Racing, and that Ford team has won six of the last seven races at the 1.5-mile Homestead oval. Edwards himself has won two of the last three.
Stewart also is strong on 1.5-mile tracks and has won four of the nine Chase races this year. But Sunday's race at Phoenix was telling. Stewart charged to the lead in his Chevrolet, but Edwards patiently stayed close behind until taking the lead himself.
If it's that close at Homestead, Edwards' three-point lead heading into the race will be the difference.
Carl Edwards will be doing a back flip Sunday in celebration of his first NASCAR Sprint Cup Series championship.
After 35 races, it comes down to one event, and Edwards, with two victories and only one finish worse than eighth, is simply better at Homestead than Tony Stewart.
More interesting is how NASCAR's declaration of putting a premium on winning thanks to a new, simplified points system hardly comes into play. Edwards has one victory this year. Stewart didn't win in the first 26 races before the Chase, then has won four Chase races yet trails by three points.
An Edwards championship will show that no matter the tweaks, consistency is still the most important factor.
Three points. One race. Who do you like?