A tropical wave near the Leeward Islands could bring heavy rain and gusty winds to the islands and Puerto Rico and Hispaniola on Saturday night into Sunday.
However, it has a low chance of becoming a tropical cyclone in the next 48 hours.
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKNWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL800 AM EDT SAT JUL 23 2011
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE IN ASSOCIATION WITHA TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED NEAR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS. THERE ARE NOSIGNS OF A SURFACE CIRCULATION AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTEDTO BECOME LESS CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT ON SUNDAY. THIS SYSTEMHAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONEDURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...BRIEF PERIODSOF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS WILL OCCUR OVER PORTIONSOF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS TODAY...AND OVER PUERTO RICO AND HISPANIOLATONIGHT INTO SUNDAY.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THENEXT 48 HOURS.
Previous entry from Friday:
A well-defined tropical wave in the Atlantic about 200 miles east of the Lesser Antilles holds potential for slow development, the National Hurricane Center said in its 11 p.m. tropical outlook on Friday.
With Tropical Storm Cindy and ex-Tropical Storm Bret nonfactors, the wave is worth watching because its moving west-northwest at 15 to 20 mph - and it's to the southeast of the U.S. coast.
For now, the hurricane center gives it a 30 percent chance of intensifying into a depression or storm over the next two days. The next named storm will be Don.
Initial model runs aim the system south of Florida into the Gulf of Mexico. But it's too early to put much stock in those projections.
At 11 p.m. on Friday, Cindy was in the Atlantic 800 miles northwest of the Azores, sprinting northeast at 33 mph with sustained winds of 40 mph. The system is expected to dissipate by Saturday.
As of 11 a.m., the hurricane center issued its last advisory on Bret, as it has dissipated into an area of low pressure.
With Cindy, the Atlantic storm season is almost a month ahead of schedule, as the third named storm on average forms on Aug. 13.
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