Tropics stirring with two possible storms as season's peak arrives

Two possible tropical storms are developing just in time for the traditional peak of the Atlantic hurricane season.

One system is forming between Cuba and Central America and the National Hurricane Center estimates it has a 50 percent chance of forming into a tropical cyclone in the next 2 days, and a 60 percent chance of doing so within five days.

Models are suggesting it could eventually make landfall as a tropical storm somewhere between Mexico and Louisiana, while at least one suggests it will fizzle, according to the Weather Underground.

The other system is much further off, developing as a wave off of the west African coast. While conditions could be favorable for it to develop quickly -- about a 60 percent chance of tropical cyclone development within two days -- it would then have to move through less hospitable territory across the Atlantic, possibly limiting later development, according to the hurricane center.

In an average year, the first hurricane of the season would have formed by now, usually around Aug. 10, according to hurricane season climatology data. But the season is still on or ahead of pace for the number of storms to develop, with four tropical storms so far. The fifth doesn't normally develop until about Aug. 31.

A cloud of Saharan dust moving across the Atlantic was inhibiting storm development earlier this month, but hurricane forecasters nevertheless recently upheld predictions of an active season.

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