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Tropical Storm Jerry likely to form, tread over Ingrid's path

A tropical system over Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula is likely to develop into a tropical storm in the coming days, and it could tread over the same area Hurricane Ingrid drenched last week.

The National Hurricane Center estimates a 70 percent chance that the system develops into a tropical cyclone over the next two days. Even if it doesn't strengthen, though, it could be dangerous, the hurricane center warned:

"REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT... THIS DISTURBANCE WILL LIKELY SPREAD HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN MEXICO AND COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES OVER AREAS ALREADY IMPACTED BY TORRENTIAL RAINS DURING THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS."

Tropical Storm Humberto is meanwhile still churning the middle of the Atlantic but was considered poorly organized and expected to turn northward into cooler waters Wednesday. It is far from any land, about 1,000 miles west of the Azores.

Humberto has been in and out of tropical storm and hurricane force since Sept. 9.

The hurricane season remains behind typical climatology in terms of hurricane formation, but normal for the number of named storms. Typically by this time of year, there have been nine tropical storms, four of which reach hurricane status.

There have indeed been nine named storms so far, but just two hurricanes, Humberto and Ingrid.

Copyright © 2014, The Baltimore Sun
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