Snow forecast

Snow is expected to stay well to the north of Maryland when a stormy weather pattern emerges next week, according to the Weather Channel. (The Weather Channel / December 14, 2012)

Forecasters have been watching models that show a stormy pattern emerging next week, but some don't expect cold air will stretch far enough south to bring snow to Maryland.

It's too early to predict a precise reach of any storm, but a "well organized winter coastal low" appears likely by Tuesday, according to the Hydrometeorological Prediction Center. The chances are best in the northeast, according to the center's forecast discussion.

The pattern would bring a change from largely calm weather for the East Coast so far this month. Signs had been pointing toward a colder, snowier start to December, but the conditions did not develop. The average temperature of about 46 degrees so far this month at BWI Marshall Airport is 7 degrees above normal, and precipitation has totaled a third of an inch, more than an inch below normal.

Forecasters' early visions of the storm's profile have snow mostly confined to New England and the Great Lakes region.

That is what the Weather Channel is calling for, with rain southward in the mid-Atlantic and Carolinas, though some snow along the Appalachians.

AccuWeather's Henry Margusity is predicting snow across the same areas, well to our north, in snow events expected both Sunday and Tuesday.

Have a weather question? E-mail me at sdance@baltsun.com or tweet to @MdWeather.