www.baltimoresun.com/news/weather/weather-blog/bal-wx-pleasant-election-day-forecast-in-maryland-most-of-nation-20121105,0,5452338.story

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Pleasant Election Day forecast in Md., most of nation

By Scott Dance, The Baltimore Sun

2:44 PM EST, November 5, 2012

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Pleasant weather is expected for Election Day in Maryland and all but a few pockets of the nation, though the morning could be one of the coldest since last winter in the Baltimore area.

Dry weather is in the forecast for most of the country. Rain or snow showers could impact a couple of swing states, however -- Wisconsin and Florida.

Rain showers are possible across the southeast, including northern Florida. Snow showers are forecast across Wisconsin and Iowa, Minnesota and Illinois.

Some surveys and studies show inclement weather most benefits Republican candidate Mitt Romney. One in four voters in 10 battleground states who support President Barack Obama said inclement weather could keep them from the polls, according to a survey the Weather Channel conducted in August.

A 2007 study conducted by the Journal of Politics found that bad weather in any year favors Republicans.

The study found that every inch of rain above normal gives Republican presidential candidates a 2.5 percent bump, while every inch of snow above normal gives the Republican a 0.6 percent larger share of the vote.

In Maryland, a freeze warning has been issued for Baltimore City and the surrounding counties. It would be the first freeze for the city and Anne Arundel County, while areas north and west of the city were also under a freeze warning for the wee hours of Monday morning. Temperatures could reach the mid-20s north and west of Baltimore and the lower 30s closer to the Chesapeake Bay.

Highs are expected in the mid-40s in the Baltimore area, with mostly sunny skies.

Have a weather question? E-mail me at sdance@baltsun.com or tweet to @MdWeather.