Summer Sale Extended! Get unlimited digital access for 13 weeks for $13.
Op-Eds
News Opinion Op-Eds

The busiest 'slow' month [Commentary]

The headlines these days all seem to demand exclamation marks. Iraq is teetering on the brink! Russian troops are massing on the Ukranian border! Gaza lies in ruins! World's worst Ebola epidemic afflicts Africa!

Welcome to another quiet and peaceful August.

Yeah, right. One of the puzzles of summer is why so many of us persist in pretending that August is a month when nothing happens, when we can step back, tune out, take a break and recharge. Europeans even think they are entitled to take the entire month off.

Perhaps there's something about late summer, a couple months gone since school let out in June, that makes us forget our history. This year, August is full of reminders. We're commemorating the 40th anniversary of President Richard Nixon's resignation and the 100th anniversary of the outbreak of World War I.

Bellicose August also brought the Gulf of Tonkin incident that triggered our involvement in Vietnam, Iraq's invasion of Kuwait in 1990, the failed coup attempt against Mikhail Gorbachev in 1991, the Ribbentrop-Molotov Pact in 1939 that enabled Hitler to invade Poland on September 1, and the atomic bombings of Nagasaki and Hiroshima in 1945 and ensuing Japanese surrender. Hurricane Katrina also occurred in August, but let's leave Mother Nature out of it.

There's a melancholic quality to August, a month nearly synonymous with "waning days of summer." Less acknowledged in our cultural vernacular is the extent to which the "waning" feeling is as much about the end of another year as it is about the end of summer.

Sure, we sing "Auld Lang Syne," kiss under the mistletoe, and wish each other a "Happy New Year" when December turns to January. But who among us doesn't feel that the real reset moment each year, the new beginning, comes in September, the day after Labor Day? The fall is when we start school and football season and the U.S. government fiscal year, and when we get serious, if we ever do, about our work.

August, then, is about the waning not only of summer, but also of each passing year, and lost possibilities. It is about the waning of life, even.

Malevolence conspires with the melancholia in August. It's not clear whether Saddam Hussein thought he would get away with taking over Kuwait if he did so while the American president was summering in Maine, or whether that president's son, when he was in office a decade later, would have taken warnings of an airborne al-Qaida plot more seriously had he been briefed about them at some time and place other than August at his Texas ranch.

August and the waning days of summer (and of the year, I insist) is when we let our guards down, creating an opening for those with an agenda, be it the invasion of Poland or Kuwait, or the shorting of the pound (George Soros famously bet against the British currency in August 1992 and won big). So keep your eye on colleagues who seem especially busy and eager to stick around the office this month. Who knows what they're up to?

Financial markets are notoriously slow in August, the month of lowest trading volumes, when bankers follow their clients to the beach. But "slow" can be a deceptive term in business as in life, given that lower volume and less liquidity in a market can make it more volatile, and more susceptible to speculation. If you buy or sell 1,000 shares of a company, you are far more likely to influence that stock price on a day when only 5,000 shares trade hands than on a day when 100,000 shares trade hands.

That same dynamic applies to anyone seeking to influence the outcome of any event: Your influence increases the fewer people are engaged. Which is what makes this such a dodgy month, and the current news headlines so ominous.

Andrés Martinez is editorial director of Zocalo Public Square, for which he writes the Trade Winds column. His email is andres@zocalopublicsquare.org.

To respond to this commentary, send an email to talkback@baltimoresun.com. Please include your name and contact information.

Copyright © 2015, The Baltimore Sun
Related Content
  • Trump the Barbarian

    Trump the Barbarian

    Whether he is fielding questions from the press or talking to voters, Donald Trump is consistently comfortable in his own florid skin and flamboyant hair. To the amazement of veteran journalists, political operatives and the other Republican candidates, that is making him a very formidable contender...

  • Less testing, more learning

    Less testing, more learning

    As our kids embark on another school year, they will experience and enjoy many of the same memorable projects and lessons we once learned. Parents and educators are excited to spark their curiosity and teach the important critical thinking skills that will help students grow and succeed.

  • Is Hillary 'likable enough'?

    Is Hillary 'likable enough'?

    Seven years ago, 2008 Democratic presidential candidate Sen. Hillary Clinton of New York, in a New Hampshire primary debate, was asked about her personal appeal. Her prime opponent, Sen. Barack Obama of Illinois, cheekily interjected: "You're likable enough, Hillary."

  • China's slowdown is good news for the U.S.

    China's slowdown is good news for the U.S.

    U.S. stocks have endured a lot of turmoil, but recent shocks have made apparent important facts about China and the shifting global economy long ignored by many analysts and investors. Those bode well for America and the bull market should soon resume.

  • The path forward for city schools

    The path forward for city schools

    It's the first day of school in Baltimore, and I'm feeling the excitement and optimism I always feel on this day of the year. But in my decades as a teacher, administrator and superintendent, I have never felt more urgency and concern on a first day than I do today.

  • Baltimore needs school choice

    Baltimore needs school choice

    Nearly a half-century after local and national uprisings around the passing of Rev. Martin Luther King Jr., what is the one aspect of the urban condition in Baltimore that has changed too little but can transform a person's life and livelihood, and ultimately his or her community?

Comments
Loading
73°