April 23, 2012
An Israeli strike on Iran between now and the 2012 elections would reshuffle the deck on the Iran nuclear issue and change the possibilities for this administration and the next. If there is no such strike before the elections, either President Barack Obama or his successor will have to be concerned immediately with whether Israel will strike on its own and draw the United States into a military confrontation with Iran. The centrality of the Iranian nuclear issue for the United States cannot be separated from Israeli concerns. A new president or Mr. Obama in a second term will have to begin by managing this as a triangular relationship.