Supported by more than one in three Democrats, Republican Gov. Larry Hogan has built up a 20-point lead over challenger Ben Jealous with four weeks to go before Election Day, according to a new poll by The Washington Post and the University of Maryland.
The poll the Post published Thursday found that only 5 percent of likely voters remain undecided and Hogan leads his Democratic rival 58 to 38 percent. Hogan’s lead is 8 points greater than in the last Post/University of Maryland poll in June.
Hogan is building on the overwhelming support of his party’s members with the votes of 64 percent of independents and by peeling away 35 percent of Democrats. The new poll also found Hogan had a higher favorability rating among Democrats than Jealous by 59 percent to 52 percent.
After being targeted with a barrage of Republican ads, Jealous’ unfavorable rating has doubled to 32 percent since the June poll. The former NAACP president’s favorable rating in the latest poll was 36 percent.
The poll found Marylanders prefer Hogan to Jealous by double-digit margins on a variety of issues that Jealous has tried to turn to his advantage, including the economy, education and health care.
The poll surveyed 870 people by phone between Oct. 4 and Oct. 7. Among the sample of 814 registered voters, the poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points. Among the 648 likely voters interviewed, the margin of error is plus or minus 4.5 percentage points.