The 2010 gubernatorial race was a down-to-the-wire heart-stopper. Polls since then haven't put meaningful distance between Gov. Dannel P. Malloy and Tom Foley, the GOP flag-bearer who almost beat Mr. Malloy four years ago and who could well be his foe again in November. The latest Quinnipiac University Poll, out Tuesday, shows a continuing dead heat between the two.
This is akin to World War I-style trench warfare. The lines don't move.
He who can take the most comfort from the latest Q Poll: Mr. Foley, of course. His campaign was supposed to have gotten off to an abysmal start with tactical mistakes and embarrassing gaffes.
But he seems not to have yielded any ground — either to Mr. Malloy in their poll head-to-head, or to rivals he might face in a Republican primary. Mistakes without penalty.
He who should take the least: state Senate Republican Leader John McKinney. Over the past 10 months, he has fallen from 11 percent to 3 percent in the Republican primary field, down there in the company of GOP gadfly Joe Visconti.
That's going the wrong way, to say the least. Mr. McKinney, an able politician and lawmaker, is probably suffering the wrath of Second Amendment enthusiasts angry with him for supporting a tough arms control measure in the wake of Sandy Hook.
He who should worry: the still-undeclared Mr. Malloy. Despite voters agreeing he's a strong leader and is honest and trustworthy, he's been unable to push any of his other job ratings above 50 percent. That's not good for an incumbent.
The only variable that can change things? A large number of undecideds.
Strap on your helmets. It's going to be a tough slog.Copyright © 2015, The Baltimore Sun