Fay fades, we stay dry, get cooler

Looks like Tropical Storm Fay won't make it to hurricane status, and is more likely to fade as she moves north along the Florida peninsula. And the computer models seem to be falling into agreement that the storm's remnants will not make it to Maryland.

Here's the latest advisory. Here's the current forecast track. And here's Fay viewed from orbit. Got reservations in Orlando? Lotsa luck. Here are some Orlando web cams. Kinda soggy.

Our forecast, after noting a slight chance for an isolated shower late today as a "back door" cold front drops across the region, shows nothing but sunny weather right through the weekend.

That cold front will drop our daytime highs from around 90 degrees again today, to the low- to mid-80s for the rest of the week. That's about normal for this time of year. Yesterday's high of 91 degrees at BWI (it was 92 here at Calvert & Centre streets) was way out of line. The BWI record for the date was 96 degrees, reached in 2002. That sun was scorching! 

In addition to cooling us off, the cold front, and the high pressure behind it, will block the advance of Fay's remnants, forecasters say. The computer models have the storm either dissipating as it tramps inland across the South, or being deflected by the circulation around the high pressure system toward the north and west, bringing lots of rain to the Deep South or the lower Mississippi Valley.

Go figure.

In the meantime, there is another storm brewing far out in the tropical Atlantic. Looks a bit unfavorable for rapid development, but forecasters are watching it. 

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